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加利福尼亚州细颗粒物来源解析与特定病因死亡率的关系。

Associations of Source-apportioned Fine Particles with Cause-specific Mortality in California.

机构信息

From the Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment, California Environmental Protection Agency, Oakland, CA.

Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA.

出版信息

Epidemiology. 2018 Sep;29(5):639-648. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000873.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Exposure to ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has been linked with premature mortality, but sources of PM2.5 have been less studied.

METHODS

We evaluated associations between source-specific PM2.5 exposures and cause-specific short-term mortality in eight California locations from 2002 to 2011. Speciated PM2.5 measurements were source-apportioned using Positive Matrix Factorization into eight sources and combined with death certificate data. We used time-stratified case-crossover analysis with conditional logistic regression by location and meta-analysis to calculate pooled estimates.

RESULTS

Biomass burning was associated with all-cause mortality lagged 2 days after exposure (lag2) (% changelag2 in odds per interquartile range width increase in biomass burning PM2.5 = 0.8, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.2, 1.4), cardiovascular (% changelag2 = 1.3, 95% CI = 0.3, 2.4), and ischemic heart disease (% changelag2 = 2.0, 95% CI = 0.6, 3.5). Vehicular emissions were associated with increases in cardiovascular mortality (% changelag0 = 1.4, 95% CI = 0.0, 2.9). Several other sources exhibited positive associations as well. Many findings persisted during the cool season. Warm season biomass burning was associated with respiratory/thoracic cancer mortality (% changelag1 = 5.9, 95% CI = 0.7, 11.3), and warm season traffic was associated with all-cause (% changelag0 = 1.9, 95% CI = 0.1, 3.6) and cardiovascular (% changelag0 = 2.9, 95% CI = 0.1, 5.7) mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that acute exposures to biomass burning and vehicular emissions are linked with cardiovascular mortality, with additional sources (i.e., soil, secondary nitrate, secondary sulfate, aged sea salt, and chlorine sources) showing associations with other specific mortality types.

摘要

背景

暴露于环境细颗粒物(PM2.5)已与过早死亡相关,但 PM2.5 的来源研究较少。

方法

我们评估了 2002 年至 2011 年加利福尼亚州 8 个地点特定来源的 PM2.5 暴露与特定原因短期死亡率之间的关联。使用正矩阵因子化将 PM2.5 特质地测量值分配到 8 个来源中,并与死亡证明数据结合使用。我们使用时间分层病例交叉分析和条件逻辑回归按地点进行分析,并进行荟萃分析计算汇总估计值。

结果

生物质燃烧与暴露后 2 天的全因死亡率相关(lag2)(暴露于生物质燃烧 PM2.5 的每四分位距增加 0.8%,95%置信区间[CI]为 0.2%,1.4%),心血管病(lag2 变化率=1.3%,95%CI=0.3%,2.4%)和缺血性心脏病(lag2 变化率=2.0%,95%CI=0.6%,3.5%)。车辆排放与心血管病死亡率的增加相关(lag0 变化率=1.4%,95%CI=0.0%,2.9%)。其他几个来源也表现出正相关。许多发现在凉爽季节仍然存在。暖季生物质燃烧与呼吸/胸部癌症死亡率相关(lag1 变化率=5.9%,95%CI=0.7%,11.3%),暖季交通与全因死亡率相关(lag0 变化率=1.9%,95%CI=0.1%,3.6%)和心血管死亡率相关(lag0 变化率=2.9%,95%CI=0.1%,5.7%)。

结论

我们的研究结果表明,急性暴露于生物质燃烧和车辆排放与心血管病死亡率相关,其他来源(即土壤、二次硝酸盐、二次硫酸盐、老化海盐和氯源)与其他特定死亡类型相关。

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