Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, USA.
Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.
Euro Surveill. 2018 Jun;23(24). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.24.1800239.
A recent outbreak of measles in Okinawa Prefecture, Japan ended with 33 measles cases whose symptoms were masked because of insufficient protection against the disease (modified measles). Using quantitative modelling, we determined the transmission potential of measles by clinical presentation (classic vs modified measles). We found low ascertainment probabilities among modified measles cases, indicating that intensified public health interventions that specifically target this group should be implemented to better contain outbreaks with modified measles cases.
日本冲绳县最近爆发的麻疹疫情以 33 例麻疹病例结束,这些病例因疾病保护不足(改良麻疹)而症状被掩盖。使用定量建模,我们根据临床表现(经典麻疹与改良麻疹)确定了麻疹的传播潜力。我们发现改良麻疹病例的确诊概率较低,这表明应实施有针对性的强化公共卫生干预措施,专门针对这一群体,以更好地控制改良麻疹病例引发的疫情。