Myers Samuel L, Cuesta Ana M, Lai Yufeng
Roy Wilkins Center for Human Relations and Social Justice, University of Minnesota, 263 Humphrey Center, 301 19Avenue South, Minneapolis, MN 55455 USA, 612.625.9821, 612.625.3513 fax.
Department of Applied Economics, University of Minnesota, 316A Ruttan Hall, 1994 Buford Avenue, St. Paul, MN, 55108, USA, 612.625.1788.
Rev Black Polit Econ. 2017;44(1-2):77-97. doi: 10.1007/s12114-017-9248-y. Epub 2017 Jan 1.
This paper provides compelling evidence of an inverse relationship between competitive swimming rates and drowning rates using Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data on fatal drowning rates and membership rates from USA Swimming, the governing organization of competitive swimming in the United States. Tobit and Poisson regression models are estimated using panel data by state from 1999-2007 separately for males, females, African Americans and whites. The strong inverse relationship between competitive swimming rates and unintentional deaths through fatal drowning is most pronounced among African Americans males.
本文利用美国疾病控制与预防中心（CDC）关于致命溺水率的数据以及美国竞技游泳管理机构美国游泳协会的会员率数据，提供了令人信服的证据，证明竞技游泳参与率与溺水率之间存在反比关系。分别针对男性、女性、非裔美国人和白人，使用1999年至2007年各州的面板数据估计了托比特回归模型和泊松回归模型。竞技游泳参与率与因致命溺水导致的意外死亡之间的强烈反比关系在非裔美国男性中最为明显。
