School of Pharmacy, King George VI Building, Newcastle University, Newcastle, UK.
Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle, UK.
J Am Med Inform Assoc. 2018 Sep 1;25(9):1183-1188. doi: 10.1093/jamia/ocy066.
To estimate the national cost of ADEs resulting from inappropriate medication-related alert overrides in the U.S. inpatient setting.
We used three different regression models (Basic, Model 1, Model 2) with model inputs taken from the medical literature. A random sample of 40 990 adult inpatients at the Brigham and Women's Hospital (BWH) in Boston with a total of 1 639 294 medication orders was taken. We extrapolated BWH medication orders using 2014 National Inpatient Sample (NIS) data.
Using three regression models, we estimated that 29.7 million adult inpatient discharges in 2014 resulted in between 1.02 billion and 1.07 billion medication orders, which in turn generated between 75.1 million and 78.8 million medication alerts, respectively. Taking the basic model (78.8 million), we estimated that 5.5 million medication-related alerts might have been inappropriately overridden, resulting in approximately 196 600 ADEs nationally. This was projected to cost between $871 million and $1.8 billion for treating preventable ADEs. We also estimated that clinicians and pharmacists would have jointly spent 175 000 hours responding to 78.8 million alerts with an opportunity cost of $16.9 million.
These data suggest that further optimization of hospitals computerized provider order entry systems and their associated clinical decision support is needed and would result in substantial savings. We have erred on the side of caution in developing this range, taking two conservative cost estimates for a preventable ADE that did not include malpractice or litigation costs, or costs of injuries to patients.
估计美国住院患者因不当用药相关警示忽略而导致药物不良反应的全国成本。
我们使用了三种不同的回归模型(基础模型、模型 1、模型 2),模型输入取自医学文献。从波士顿布莱根妇女医院(BWH)的 40990 名成年住院患者中随机抽取了一个样本,共有 1639294 个药物医嘱。我们使用 2014 年国家住院患者样本(NIS)的数据对 BWH 的药物医嘱进行了推断。
使用三种回归模型,我们估计 2014 年有 2970 万例成年住院患者出院,导致 10.2 亿至 10.7 亿个药物医嘱,进而分别产生 7510 万至 7880 万次药物警示。以基本模型(7880 万次)为例,我们估计可能有 550 万次药物相关警示被不当忽略,导致全国范围内发生约 19.6 万例药物不良反应。这预计将花费 8.71 亿至 18 亿美元用于治疗可预防的药物不良反应。我们还估计,临床医生和药剂师在应对 7880 万次警示时将总共花费 17.5 万小时,机会成本为 1690 万美元。
这些数据表明,需要进一步优化医院的计算机化医嘱录入系统及其相关的临床决策支持系统,这将带来大量节省。我们在制定这一范围时采取了谨慎的态度,考虑了两种预防药物不良反应的保守成本估计,这些估计不包括医疗事故或诉讼费用,也不包括对患者伤害的费用。