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巴尔的摩市性传播感染诊所提供人类免疫缺陷病毒暴露前预防的影响:基于主体的模型。

Impact of Providing Preexposure Prophylaxis for Human Immunodeficiency Virus at Clinics for Sexually Transmitted Infections in Baltimore City: An Agent-based Model.

机构信息

From the Bloomberg School of Public Health.

School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.

出版信息

Sex Transm Dis. 2018 Dec;45(12):791-797. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0000000000000882.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) greatly reduces the risk of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) acquisition, but its optimal delivery strategy remains uncertain. Clinics for sexually transmitted infections (STIs) can provide an efficient venue for PrEP delivery.

METHODS

To quantify the added value of STI clinic-based PrEP delivery, we used an agent-based simulation of HIV transmission among men who have sex with men (MSM). We simulated the impact of PrEP delivery through STI clinics compared with PrEP delivery in other community-based settings. Our primary outcome was the projected 20-year reduction in HIV incidence among MSM.

RESULTS

Assuming PrEP uptake and adherence of 60% each, evaluating STI clinic attendees and delivering PrEP to eligible MSM reduced HIV incidence by 16% [95% uncertainty range, 14%-18%] over 20 years, an impact that was 1.8 (1.7-2.0) times as great as that achieved by evaluating an equal number of MSM recruited from the community. Comparing strategies where an equal number of MSM received PrEP in each strategy (ie, evaluating more individuals for PrEP in the community-based strategy, because MSM attending STI clinics are more likely to be PrEP eligible), the reduction in HIV incidence under the STI clinic-based strategy was 1.3 (1.3-1.4) times as great as that of community-based delivery.

CONCLUSIONS

Delivering PrEP to MSM who attend STI clinics can improve efficiency and effectiveness. If high levels of adherence can be achieved in this population, STI clinics may be an important venue for PrEP implementation.

摘要

背景

暴露前预防(PrEP)大大降低了人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)的感染风险,但最佳的提供策略仍不确定。性传播感染(STI)诊所可为 PrEP 的提供提供有效的场所。

方法

为了量化基于 STI 诊所的 PrEP 提供的附加值,我们使用了一个基于代理的 HIV 在男男性行为者(MSM)中传播的模拟。我们模拟了通过 STI 诊所提供 PrEP 与在其他社区环境中提供 PrEP 相比对 HIV 发病率的影响。我们的主要结果是 MSM 中预计 20 年 HIV 发病率的降低。

结果

假设 PrEP 的使用率和依从率均为 60%,评估 STI 诊所的就诊者并向符合条件的 MSM 提供 PrEP,可在 20 年内将 HIV 发病率降低 16%[95%不确定性范围,14%-18%],这一影响是通过评估社区中同等数量的 MSM 获得的 1.8 倍(1.7-2.0)。比较两种策略,即每一种策略中都有同等数量的 MSM 接受 PrEP(即在基于社区的策略中评估更多的 MSM 接受 PrEP,因为参加 STI 诊所的 MSM 更有可能符合 PrEP 的条件),基于 STI 诊所的策略中 HIV 发病率的降低是基于社区的策略的 1.3 倍(1.3-1.4)。

结论

向参加 STI 诊所的 MSM 提供 PrEP 可以提高效率和效果。如果该人群能达到较高的依从率,STI 诊所可能是 PrEP 实施的一个重要场所。

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