Center for Climate Change and Environmental Policy, Chinese Academy for Environmental Planning, Beijing 100012, China.
School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China.
Sci Adv. 2018 Jul 4;4(7):eaar8400. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aar8400. eCollection 2018 Jul.
China's CH emissions from 1955 existing (old) and 495 planned (new) landfills are estimated and projected by adopting a bottom-up method, targeting a 2012 baseline year and a 2030 projected target year. Nine key CH mitigation measures are proposed for the CH mitigation assessment from landfills. Approximately 0.66 million metric tons (Mt) of CH and 1.14 Mt of CH will be released, respectively, from new and existing landfills under a 2030 business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, which is 23.5% lower than a U.S. Environmental Protection Agency estimation. It is estimated that 0.60 and 0.97 Mt of CH can be reduced under new policies (NP) and low-carbon (LC) policy scenarios, respectively. The combined biocover and landfill gas collection and flaring system is the most promising mitigation measure, while mechanical biological treatment and mineral landfill also contribute substantially to CH reduction. The odor-affected population under NP and LC scenarios will decrease by 39.5 and 64.2%, respectively, when compared to the 2030 BAU scenario. The LC scenario is a recommended policy for meeting China's nationally determined contribution targets and reducing the not-in-my-backyard impact due to this policy's significant reduction of CH emissions.
采用自下而上的方法,针对 2012 年基准年和 2030 年预计目标年,对中国 1955 年现有(旧)和 495 个计划(新)垃圾填埋场的 CH 排放进行了估计和预测。为了评估垃圾填埋场的 CH 减排,提出了 9 项关键的 CH 减排措施。在 2030 年现行政策(BAU)情景下,新的和现有的垃圾填埋场将分别排放约 66 万公吨(Mt)的 CH 和 114 Mt 的 CH,比美国环保署的估计低 23.5%。据估计,在新政策(NP)和低碳(LC)政策情景下,可分别减少 0.60 Mt 和 0.97 Mt 的 CH。生物覆盖和垃圾填埋气收集和燃烧系统的组合是最有前途的减排措施,而机械生物处理和矿物垃圾填埋场也对 CH 减排有很大贡献。与 2030 年 BAU 情景相比,NP 和 LC 情景下的恶臭影响人口将分别减少 39.5%和 64.2%。LC 情景是实现中国国家自主贡献目标和减少由于该政策对 CH 排放的显著减少而导致的“邻避效应”的推荐政策。