Institute for Social Medicine and Epidemiology.
Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Melanoma Res. 2020 Aug;30(4):386-395. doi: 10.1097/CMR.0000000000000482.
Up-to-date melanoma relative survival (RS) estimates and trend analysis facilitate close monitoring of melanoma patients' prognosis. This study aimed to provide recent 5-year and 10-year RS from melanoma, stratified by prognostic factors, and identify latest survival trends. Data from 12 German cancer registries were analysed. We included patients with primary cutaneous malignant melanoma (ICD-10: C43.X) diagnosed in 1997-2013 who were at least 15 years old. Five-year and 10-year RS were estimated by period analysis. For 10-year RS analyses, we excluded patients who were 75 years of age or older. Analyses were stratified by sex, age, histology, tumour stage, and body site. We included 82 901 patients, of whom 51% were women. The median age at diagnosis was 62 years. Five-year and 10-year RS in 2007-2013 were 92.4 and 90.8%, respectively. RS was higher in women. The prognosis worsened with older age and higher stage. In superficial spreading melanoma and lentigo maligna melanoma, RS was high; it was lower in nodular, acral lentiginous and 'other' melanoma. RS was the highest for melanoma on the arms; RS for melanoma on unknown or overlapping sites of the skin was the lowest. Five-year and 10-year RS increased significantly from 2005-2007 and 2008-2010 to 2011-2013, by 3.5 and 3.3 percentage points, respectively. For melanoma of 'other' histology, 5-year and 10-year RS increased significantly. Ten-year RS also increased significantly in men with superficial spreading melanoma and T4 melanoma, and in women with T3 melanoma. Melanoma RS improved, especially in certain subgroups. The reasons for improvements need to be investigated further.
最新的黑色素瘤相对生存率(RS)估计和趋势分析有助于密切监测黑色素瘤患者的预后。本研究旨在提供黑色素瘤的最新 5 年和 10 年 RS,按预后因素分层,并确定最新的生存趋势。对 12 个德国癌症登记处的数据进行了分析。我们纳入了 1997-2013 年间诊断为原发性皮肤恶性黑色素瘤(ICD-10:C43.X)且年龄至少为 15 岁的患者。通过时期分析估计 5 年和 10 年 RS。对于 10 年 RS 分析,我们排除了 75 岁或以上的患者。分析按性别、年龄、组织学、肿瘤分期和身体部位分层。我们纳入了 82901 名患者,其中 51%为女性。诊断时的中位年龄为 62 岁。2007-2013 年的 5 年和 10 年 RS 分别为 92.4%和 90.8%。女性的 RS 更高。随着年龄的增长和分期的升高,预后恶化。在浅表扩散性黑色素瘤和恶性雀斑样痣黑色素瘤中,RS 较高;在结节性、肢端雀斑样黑色素瘤和“其他”黑色素瘤中,RS 较低。RS 最高的是手臂上的黑色素瘤;RS 最低的是皮肤的未知或重叠部位的黑色素瘤。与 2005-2007 年和 2008-2010 年相比,2011-2013 年 5 年和 10 年 RS 分别显著增加了 3.5%和 3.3%。对于“其他”组织学的黑色素瘤,5 年和 10 年 RS 显著增加。在男性中,浅表扩散性黑色素瘤和 T4 黑色素瘤以及女性 T3 黑色素瘤中,10 年 RS 也显著增加。黑色素瘤 RS 有所改善,尤其是在某些亚组中。改善的原因需要进一步调查。