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是否存在恋童癖的早期风险标志物?一项全国范围内的儿童性剥削材料犯罪者的病例对照研究。

Are There Early Risk Markers for Pedophilia? A Nationwide Case-Control Study of Child Sexual Exploitation Material Offenders.

机构信息

a Forensic Research Unit, The Royal's Institute of Mental Health Research.

b Department of Psychiatry , University of Oxford.

出版信息

J Sex Res. 2019 Feb;56(2):203-212. doi: 10.1080/00224499.2018.1492694. Epub 2018 Jul 31.

Abstract

Although prior research suggests associations between parental characteristics and later sexual offending in offspring, possible links between early pregnancy-related factors and sexual offending remain unclear. Early risk markers unique to sexual offending, however, may be more prominent among sexual offenders with atypical sexual interests, such as individuals involved with child sexual exploitation material (CSEM; also referred to as child pornography). We examined the prospective association between parental and pregnancy-related risk markers and a behavioral indicator of pedophilic interest, CSEM offending. All 655 men born in Sweden and convicted of CSEM offending between 1988 to 2009 were matched 1:5 on sex, birth year, and county of birth in Sweden to 3,928 controls without sexual or nonsexual violent convictions. Paternal age (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 1.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.1, 1.7]), parental education (AOR = 0.8, 95% CI [0.6, 0.9]), parental violent criminality (AOR = 2.9, 95% CI [2.2, 3.8]), number of older brothers (AOR = 0.8, 95% CI [0.6, 0.9] per brother), and congenital malformations (AOR = 1.7, 95% CI [1.2, 2.4]) all independently predicted CSEM convictions. This large-scale, nationwide study suggests parental risk markers for CSEM offending. We did not, however, find convincing evidence for pregnancy-related risk markers, with the exception of congenital malformations and having fewer older brothers.

摘要

尽管先前的研究表明父母特征与后代日后的性犯罪之间存在关联,但与与早期妊娠相关因素和性犯罪之间的可能联系仍不清楚。然而,对于性犯罪者来说,与性犯罪相关的早期风险标志物可能更为突出,例如涉及儿童性剥削材料(CSEM;也称为儿童色情制品)的个体。我们研究了与父母和妊娠相关的风险标志物与恋童癖兴趣的行为指标(即 CSEM 犯罪)之间的前瞻性关联。所有在 1988 年至 2009 年间在瑞典因 CSEM 犯罪而被定罪的 655 名男性,都与在瑞典按性别、出生年份和出生县匹配的 3928 名无性暴力或非性暴力犯罪的对照者按 1:5 的比例进行了匹配。父亲年龄(调整后的优势比 [AOR] = 1.3,95%置信区间 [CI] [1.1, 1.7])、父母教育程度(AOR = 0.8,95%CI [0.6, 0.9])、父母暴力犯罪(AOR = 2.9,95%CI [2.2, 3.8])、哥哥数量(AOR = 0.8,95%CI [0.6, 0.9],每增加一个哥哥)和先天性畸形(AOR = 1.7,95%CI [1.2, 2.4])均可独立预测 CSEM 定罪。这项大规模的全国性研究表明,父母是 CSEM 犯罪的风险标志物。然而,我们没有发现令人信服的与妊娠相关的风险标志物的证据,除了先天性畸形和哥哥较少的情况。

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