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蝉的诱惑之歌:早期接触杀虫剂与后期雄性死亡率

The Siren Song of Cicadas: Early-Life Pesticide Exposure and Later-Life Male Mortality.

作者信息

Fletcher Jason, Noghanibehambari Hamid

机构信息

La Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1225 Observatory Drive, Madison, WI 53706-1211, USA.

College of Business, Austin Peay State University, Marion St, Clarksville, TN 37040, USA.

出版信息

J Environ Econ Manage. 2024 Jan;123. doi: 10.1016/j.jeem.2023.102903. Epub 2023 Nov 20.

Abstract

This paper studies the long-term effects of in-utero and early-life exposure to pesticide use on adulthood and old-age longevity. We use the cyclical emergence of cicadas in the eastern half of the United States as a shock that raises the pesticide use among tree crop growing farmlands. We implement a difference-in-difference framework and employ Social Security Administration death records over the years 1975-2005 linked to the complete count 1940 census. We find that males born in top-quartile tree-crop counties and exposed to a cicada event during fetal development and early-life live roughly 2.2 months shorted lives; those with direct farm exposure face a reduction of nearly a year. We provide empirical evidence to examine mortality selection before adulthood, endogenous fertility, and differential data linkage rates. Additional analyses suggests that reductions in education and income during adulthood are potential mechanisms of impact. Our findings add to our understanding of the relevance of early-life insults for old-age health and mortality.

摘要

本文研究子宫内及生命早期接触农药使用对成年期和老年寿命的长期影响。我们利用美国东半部蝉的周期性出现作为一种冲击,这种冲击提高了果树种植农田中的农药使用量。我们实施了双重差分框架,并使用了1975年至2005年与1940年人口普查完整计数相关联的社会保障管理局死亡记录。我们发现,出生在果树种植县前四分位且在胎儿发育和生命早期接触过蝉事件的男性,寿命大约缩短2.2个月;那些直接接触农场的男性寿命减少近一年。我们提供实证证据来检验成年前的死亡率选择、内生生育率和不同的数据关联率。进一步的分析表明,成年期教育和收入的减少是潜在的影响机制。我们的研究结果加深了我们对生命早期伤害与老年健康和死亡率相关性的理解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4709/10785703/2d134b362564/nihms-1949302-f0004.jpg

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