Casey Joan A, Savitz David A, Rasmussen Sara G, Ogburn Elizabeth L, Pollak Jonathan, Mercer Dione G, Schwartz Brian S
From the aDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, bDepartment of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD; cDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD; dDepartment of Epidemiology, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, RI; eDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Alpert School of Medicine, Brown University, Providence, RI; fRobert Wood Johnson Foundation Health and Society Scholars Program, UC San Francisco and UC Berkeley, San Franciso, CA; and gCenter for Health Research, Geisinger Health System, Danville, PA.
Epidemiology. 2016 Mar;27(2):163-72. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000387.
Unconventional natural gas development has expanded rapidly. In Pennsylvania, the number of producing wells increased from 0 in 2005 to 3,689 in 2013. Few publications have focused on unconventional natural gas development and birth outcomes.
We performed a retrospective cohort study using electronic health record data on 9,384 mothers linked to 10,946 neonates in the Geisinger Health System from January 2009 to January 2013. We estimated cumulative exposure to unconventional natural gas development activity with an inverse-distance squared model that incorporated distance to the mother's home; dates and durations of well pad development, drilling, and hydraulic fracturing; and production volume during the pregnancy. We used multilevel linear and logistic regression models to examine associations between activity index quartile and term birth weight, preterm birth, low 5-minute Apgar score and small size for gestational age birth, while controlling for potential confounding variables.
In adjusted models, there was an association between unconventional natural gas development activity and preterm birth that increased across quartiles, with a fourth quartile odds ratio of 1.4 (95% confidence interval = 1.0, 1.9). There were no associations of activity with Apgar score, small for gestational age birth, or term birth weight (after adjustment for year). In a posthoc analysis, there was an association with physician-recorded high-risk pregnancy identified from the problem list (fourth vs. first quartile, 1.3 [95% confidence interval = 1.1, 1.7]).
Prenatal residential exposure to unconventional natural gas development activity was associated with two pregnancy outcomes, adding to evidence that unconventional natural gas development may impact health.See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/EDE/B14.
非常规天然气开发迅速扩张。在宾夕法尼亚州,产气井数量从2005年的0口增加到2013年的3689口。很少有出版物关注非常规天然气开发与出生结局。
我们进行了一项回顾性队列研究,使用了2009年1月至2013年1月期间盖辛格医疗系统中9384名母亲与10946名新生儿的电子健康记录数据。我们使用反距离平方模型估计了母亲住所到非常规天然气开发活动的累积暴露量,该模型纳入了距离、井场开发日期和持续时间、钻井、水力压裂以及孕期产量。我们使用多水平线性和逻辑回归模型来检验活动指数四分位数与足月出生体重、早产、5分钟阿氏评分低以及小于胎龄儿出生之间的关联,同时控制潜在的混杂变量。
在调整模型中,非常规天然气开发活动与早产之间存在关联,且随着四分位数增加而增加,第四四分位数的比值比为1.4(95%置信区间=1.0,1.9)。活动与阿氏评分、小于胎龄儿出生或足月出生体重(调整年份后)无关联。在事后分析中,与从问题列表中识别出的医生记录的高危妊娠存在关联(第四四分位数与第一四分位数相比,1.3[95%置信区间=1.1,1.7])。
产前居住暴露于非常规天然气开发活动与两种妊娠结局相关,这进一步证明非常规天然气开发可能影响健康。见视频摘要:http://links.lww.com/EDE/B14 。