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土耳其环境库兹涅茨曲线假说的再检验:来自自举滚动窗口因果关系的新证据。

A revisit of the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for Turkey: new evidence from bootstrap rolling window causality.

机构信息

Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Economics, Firat University, 23200, Elazig, Turkey.

Department of Banking and Financial Management, University of Piraeus, Piraeus, Greece.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2018 Nov;25(32):32381-32394. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-3165-x. Epub 2018 Sep 19.

Abstract

This study aims at analyzing the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis for Turkey, spanning the period of 1961-2013. Unlike previous studies, instead of carbon emissions, the ecological footprint is used as a proxy for environmental degradation. Moreover, a bootstrap time-varying causality approach is used to detect the possible changes in causal relations and to obtain the parameters across subsample periods. The results clearly indicate that there are feedback relationships between economic growth and the ecological footprint in some subsample periods. In addition, the impact of economic growth on environmental degradation is positive and has a slowly increasing trend in all subsample periods. Therefore, the EKC hypothesis is not confirmed for the Turkish economy. Based on these results, some crucial policy implications are suggested.

摘要

本研究旨在分析土耳其的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说,时间跨度为 1961 年至 2013 年。与以往的研究不同,本研究使用生态足迹而非碳排放量作为环境退化的代理变量。此外,我们还使用了 bootstrap 时变因果关系方法来检测因果关系可能发生的变化,并在子样本期间获得参数。结果清楚地表明,在某些子样本期间,经济增长与生态足迹之间存在反馈关系。此外,在所有子样本期间,经济增长对环境退化的影响都是正向的,且呈缓慢上升趋势。因此,EKC 假说不适用于土耳其经济。基于这些结果,我们提出了一些重要的政策建议。

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