* Joint last authors; Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg; Medical Faculty Heidelberg, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg; Division of Preventive Oncology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ) and National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT), Heidelberg; German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg; Cancer Prevention Unit, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg.
Dtsch Arztebl Int. 2018 Sep 3;115(35-36):586-593. doi: 10.3238/arztebl.2018.0586.
Causal relationships with the occurrence of cancer have been established for a number of infections and environmental risk factors.
Numbers and proportions (population-attributable fractions, PAF) of cancer cases attributable to these factors in Germany were calculated by sex and age groups for ages 35 to 84 years based on population projections, national cancer incidence, exposure data, and published risk estimates.
For 2018, more than 17 600 cancer cases (4.0% of all incident cancers) were estimated to be attributable to infections. The largest contributions come from Helicobacter pylori (n = 8764) and human papillomavirus (n = 7669) infections. Infection with hepatitis B and C, human immunodeficiency virus, and human herpesvirus 8 were estimated to cause 983 cases, 144 cases, and 116 cases, respectively. More than 5400 cancer cases (1.2% of all incident cancers) were estimated to be attributable to selected environmental factors, of which the largest contributor is indoor radon (n = 3185), followed by particulate matter (n = 1049), sunbed use (n = 892), and secondhand smoke (n = 309).
Of all cancers expected in 2018 in Germany, at least 5% are attributable to potentially avoidable infections and environmental factors. Further research should be directed towards more comprehensive identification and quantification of environmental risks as a basis for targeted cancer prevention.
已经确定了一些感染和环境风险因素与癌症发生之间的因果关系。
根据人口预测、国家癌症发病率、暴露数据和已发表的风险估计,计算了德国 35 至 84 岁人群中这些因素导致的癌症病例数量和比例(人群归因分数,PAF),按性别和年龄组进行划分。
估计 2018 年有超过 17600 例癌症(所有新发癌症的 4.0%)归因于感染。最大的贡献来自幽门螺杆菌(n = 8764)和人乳头瘤病毒(n = 7669)感染。乙型肝炎和丙型肝炎、人类免疫缺陷病毒和人类疱疹病毒 8 的感染估计分别导致 983 例、144 例和 116 例病例。超过 5400 例癌症(所有新发癌症的 1.2%)归因于选定的环境因素,其中最大的贡献者是室内氡(n = 3185),其次是颗粒物(n = 1049)、日光浴床使用(n = 892)和二手烟(n = 309)。
在德国,2018 年预计所有癌症中,至少有 5%归因于可预防的感染和环境因素。应进一步研究,以更全面地确定和量化环境风险,作为有针对性的癌症预防的基础。