School of Environment and Natural Resources, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA.
Department of Community Sustainability, Environmental Science & Policy Program, School of Criminal Justice, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA.
Risk Anal. 2019 Apr;39(4):777-791. doi: 10.1111/risa.13207. Epub 2018 Oct 2.
Decades of research identify risk perception as a largely intuitive and affective construct, in contrast to the more deliberative assessments of probability and consequences that form the foundation of risk assessment. However, a review of the literature reveals that many of the risk perception measures employed in survey research with human subjects are either generic in nature, not capturing any particular affective, probabilistic, or consequential dimension of risk; or focused solely on judgments of probability. The goal of this research was to assess a multidimensional measure of risk perception across multiple hazards to identify a measure that will be broadly useful for assessing perceived risk moving forward. Our results support the idea of risk perception being multidimensional, but largely a function of individual affective reactions to the hazard. We also find that our measure of risk perception holds across multiple types of hazards, ranging from those that are behavioral in nature (e.g., health and safety behaviors), to those that are technological (e.g., pollution), or natural (e.g., extreme weather). We suggest that a general, unidimensional measure of risk may accurately capture one's perception of the severity of the consequences, and the discrete emotions that are felt in response to those potential consequences. However, such a measure is not likely to capture the perceived probability of experiencing the outcomes, nor will it be as useful at understanding one's motivation to take mitigation action.
数十年的研究表明,风险感知在很大程度上是一种直观的和情感的构建,与形成风险评估基础的更具审议性的概率和后果评估形成对比。然而,对文献的回顾表明,许多在人类受试者的调查研究中使用的风险感知测量方法要么是通用的,不能捕捉到风险的任何特定情感、概率或后果维度;要么只专注于概率判断。这项研究的目的是评估跨多种危害的风险感知的多维测量,以确定一种在未来广泛用于评估感知风险的测量方法。我们的研究结果支持风险感知是多维的观点,但主要是个体对危险的情感反应的函数。我们还发现,我们的风险感知测量方法适用于多种类型的危害,包括行为性质的危害(如健康和安全行为)、技术性质的危害(如污染)和自然性质的危害(如极端天气)。我们认为,一种通用的、单一维度的风险测量方法可以准确地捕捉到一个人对后果严重程度的感知,以及对这些潜在后果的感受的离散情绪。然而,这样的测量方法不太可能捕捉到对体验结果的感知概率,也不太有助于理解一个人采取缓解行动的动机。