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德米尔坚法和威廉姆斯法在中国东部亚成年人中的适用性与准确性

Applicability and accuracy of Demirjian and Willems methods in a population of Eastern Chinese subadults.

作者信息

Wang Jian, Bai Xuebing, Wang Miaochen, Zhou Zijie, Bian Xiaohe, Qiu Che, Li Changyi, Yang Zhao, Chen Guangcan, Ji Fang, Tao Jiang

机构信息

Department of General Dentistry, Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Stomatology & Shanghai Research Institute of Stomatology, National Clinical Research Center of Stomatology, China.

Department of General Dentistry, Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, China.

出版信息

Forensic Sci Int. 2018 Nov;292:90-96. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2018.09.006. Epub 2018 Sep 19.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

To assess the validity of the Demirjian and Willems dental age estimation methods in a population of Eastern Chinese 11-18-year-old subadults.

SAMPLES AND METHODS

A total of 1622 orthopantomograms (787 boys and 835 girls) aged from 11.00 to 18.99 years old from a Chinese Han population were evaluated in the study. Dental ages were calculated using both Demirjian and Willems method. Statistical significance was set at p<0.05 and for each method, discrepancies between chronological age (CA) and dental age (DA) were statistically analyzed by paired t-tests. Special age interval analysis was conducted by Chi-square tests to compare the accuracy of the Demirjian and the Willems methods.

RESULTS

Demirjian method underestimated CA 0.66±1.45 y (p<0.001) in boys and 0.62±1.61 y (p<0.001) in girls while Willems method underestimated 0.90±1.32 y (p<0.001) and 0.97±1.56 y (p<0.001) in boys and girls, respectively. The mean absolute error (MAE) value between the CA and the DA (CA-DA) using the Demirjian method and the Willems method were 1.31 and 1.29 y for boys, respectively, and 1.35 and 1.43 y for girls, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

It is suggested that the Demirjian method was found to be more accurate compared with the Willems method. However, the Demirjian method may not be satisfactory for 11-18-year-old children of Eastern China. It is recommended that a modified Demirjian method for better dental age estimation for Eastern Chinese juvenile individuals.

摘要

背景

评估Demirjian和Willems牙齿年龄估计方法在中国东部11至18岁青少年人群中的有效性。

样本与方法

本研究评估了来自中国汉族人群的1622张全景X线片(787名男孩和835名女孩),年龄在11.00至18.99岁之间。使用Demirjian和Willems方法计算牙齿年龄。统计学显著性设定为p<0.05,对于每种方法,通过配对t检验对实际年龄(CA)和牙齿年龄(DA)之间的差异进行统计学分析。通过卡方检验进行特殊年龄区间分析,以比较Demirjian和Willems方法的准确性。

结果

Demirjian方法在男孩中低估实际年龄0.66±1.45岁(p<0.001),在女孩中低估0.62±1.61岁(p<0.001);而Willems方法在男孩和女孩中分别低估0.90±1.32岁(p<0.001)和0.97±1.56岁(p<0.001)。使用Demirjian方法和Willems方法时,男孩实际年龄与牙齿年龄(CA-DA)之间的平均绝对误差(MAE)值分别为1.31岁和1.29岁,女孩分别为1.35岁和1.43岁。

结论

结果表明,与Willems方法相比,Demirjian方法更准确。然而,Demirjian方法对于中国东部11至18岁的儿童可能并不令人满意。建议对Demirjian方法进行改进,以更好地估计中国东部青少年的牙齿年龄。

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