Hiraoka Takayuki, Jo Hang-Hyun
Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang, 37673, Republic of Korea.
Department of Physics, Pohang University of Science and Technology, Pohang, 37673, Republic of Korea.
Sci Rep. 2018 Oct 17;8(1):15321. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-33700-8.
Spreading dynamics has been considered to take place in temporal networks, where temporal interaction patterns between nodes show non-Poissonian bursty nature. The effects of inhomogeneous interevent times (IETs) on the spreading have been extensively studied in recent years, yet little is known about the effects of correlations between IETs on the spreading. In order to investigate those effects, we study two-step deterministic susceptible-infected (SI) and probabilistic SI dynamics when the interaction patterns are modeled by inhomogeneous and correlated IETs, i.e., correlated bursts. By analyzing the transmission time statistics in a single-link setup and by simulating the spreading in Bethe lattices and random graphs, we conclude that the positive correlation between IETs slows down the spreading. We also argue that the shortest transmission time from one infected node to its susceptible neighbors can successfully explain our numerical results.
传播动力学被认为发生在时间网络中,其中节点之间的时间交互模式呈现非泊松式的突发性质。近年来,不均匀事件间隔时间(IET)对传播的影响已得到广泛研究,但对于IET之间的相关性对传播的影响却知之甚少。为了研究这些影响,当交互模式由不均匀且相关的IET(即相关突发)建模时,我们研究了两步确定性易感-感染(SI)和概率性SI动力学。通过分析单链路设置中的传输时间统计数据,并通过在贝叶斯晶格和随机图中模拟传播,我们得出结论:IET之间的正相关性会减缓传播。我们还认为,从一个受感染节点到其易感邻居的最短传输时间能够成功解释我们的数值结果。