流感及其他急性呼吸道疾病流行季节非流行日发病数的上限。
The upper tolerance limits of nonepidemic daily morbidity for influenza and other acute respiratory diseases in the epidemic season.
作者信息
Peretjagina N S, Antonova I V, Urbah V J
出版信息
Bull World Health Organ. 1977;55(6):761-3.
Abstract
The start of an influenza epidemic may be detected by comparing actual daily morbidity from influenza and other acute respiratory infections with the upper tolerance limits of this morbidity for nonepidemic years. A method of constructing such tolerance limits for the autumn-winter season, when the probability of an influenza epidemic is greatest, is described. The results are illustrated by data relating to Moscow.
摘要
通过将流感及其他急性呼吸道感染的实际每日发病率与非流行年份该发病率的上限进行比较，可以发现流感疫情的开始。本文描述了一种构建秋冬季节（此时流感流行概率最大）此类上限的方法。以莫斯科的数据为例说明了结果。
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