Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Zimbabwe, P. O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Ministry of Health and Child Care, 4th Floor, Kaguvi Building, Central Avenue (between 4th and 5th Street), Harare, Zimbabwe.
BMC Infect Dis. 2018 Nov 27;18(1):598. doi: 10.1186/s12879-018-3513-y.
In most developing economies particularly in Africa, more people are likely to die of HIV/AIDS and malaria compared to other diseases. HIV/AIDS tends to be superimposed on the long standing malaria burden particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. The detection and understanding of spatial overlaps in disease occurrence is important for integrated and targeted disease control. Integrated disease control can enhance efficiency and cost-effectiveness through the development of drugs targeting multiple infections in the same geographic space.
Using Zimbabwe as a case study, this study tests the hypothesis that malaria clusters coincide with HIV/AIDS clusters in space. Case data for the two diseases were obtained from the Ministry of Health and Child Care in Zimbabwe at district level via the District Health Information System (DHIS). Kulldorff's spatial scan statistic was used to test for spatial overlaps in clusters of high cases of HIV/AIDS and malaria at district level. The spatial scan test was used to identify areas with higher cases of HIV/AIDS and malaria than would be expected under spatial randomness.
Results of this study indicate that primary clusters of HIV/AIDS and malaria were not spatially coincident in Zimbabwe. While no spatial overlaps were detected between primary clusters of the two diseases, spatial overlaps were detected among statistically significant secondary clusters of HIV/AIDS and malaria. Spatial overlaps between HIV/AIDS and malaria occurred in five districts in the northern and eastern regions of Zimbabwe. In addition, findings of this study indicate that HIV/AIDS is more widespread in Zimbabwe compared to malaria.
The results of this study may therefore be used as a basis for spatially-targeted control of HIV/AIDS and malaria particularly in high disease burden areas. This is important as previous interventions have targeted the two diseases separately. Thus, targeted control could assist in resource allocation through prioritising areas in greatest need hence maximising the impact of disease control.
在大多数发展中经济体,特别是在非洲,与其他疾病相比,更多人可能死于艾滋病毒/艾滋病和疟疾。艾滋病毒/艾滋病往往叠加在长期存在的疟疾负担之上,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲。检测和了解疾病发生的空间重叠对于综合和有针对性的疾病控制非常重要。通过在同一地理空间开发针对多种感染的药物,综合疾病控制可以提高效率和成本效益。
本文以津巴布韦为例,检验了这样一个假设,即疟疾聚集区与艾滋病毒/艾滋病聚集区在空间上是重合的。两种疾病的病例数据均来自津巴布韦卫生部和儿童保健部通过地区卫生信息系统(DHIS)在地区层面上获得。采用 Kulldorff 空间扫描统计量检验地区一级艾滋病毒/艾滋病和疟疾高发病例的空间重叠情况。空间扫描检验用于识别艾滋病毒/艾滋病和疟疾发病率高于空间随机性的地区。
本研究结果表明,津巴布韦艾滋病毒/艾滋病和疟疾的初级聚集区在空间上并不重合。虽然在两种疾病的初级聚集区之间没有检测到空间重叠,但在艾滋病毒/艾滋病和疟疾的统计显著次级聚集区之间检测到了空间重叠。艾滋病毒/艾滋病和疟疾在津巴布韦北部和东部的五个地区存在空间重叠。此外,本研究的结果表明,与疟疾相比,艾滋病毒/艾滋病在津巴布韦更为普遍。
因此,本研究的结果可作为艾滋病毒/艾滋病和疟疾的空间靶向控制的基础,特别是在疾病负担高的地区。这一点很重要,因为以前的干预措施已经分别针对这两种疾病。因此,有针对性的控制可以通过优先考虑最需要的地区来协助资源分配,从而最大限度地提高疾病控制的效果。