Department of Pediatrics, Emory University, 2015 Uppergate Dr., Rm 426I, Atlanta, GA 30322, United States; Aflac Cancer and Blood Disorders Center, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, 2015 Uppergate Dr., Rm 426I, Atlanta, GA 30322, United States.
Department of Clinical Research, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Avenue N, PO Box 19024, Seattle, Washington 98109, United States; Department of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Avenue N, PO Box 19024, Seattle, Washington 98109, United States.
Eur J Cancer. 2019 Jan;106:171-180. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2018.10.016. Epub 2018 Dec 5.
Although paediatric astrocytoma has an excellent 5-year survival rate, survivors remain at risk for morbidity and late mortality. This study aimed to estimate the risk of late mortality, chronic conditions, poor health status and social impairment in ageing paediatric astrocytoma survivors.
We longitudinally evaluated 1182 5-year astrocytoma survivors diagnosed between 1970 and 1986 and 4023 siblings enrolled in a retrospective cohort study. Kaplan-Meier estimates of late mortality and cumulative incidence of serious chronic conditions were estimated. Cox regression models provided hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for development of chronic conditions, and generalised linear models provided relative risks (RRs) of the poor health status and social outcomes.
At 30 years from diagnosis, cumulative late mortality was 22.1% (CI 20.0-24.3%), primarily due to disease progression or recurrence. Compared with siblings, survivors were at increased risk of serious chronic conditions (HR 4.6, CI 3.8-5.5). Survivors reported higher rates of poor general health (RR 3.3, CI 2.8-3.8), poor mental health (RR 1.9, CI 1.7-2.1), functional impairment (RR 9.0, CI 7.7-10.5) and activity limitation (RR 3.6, CI 3.1-4.2) and lower rates of college graduation (RR 0.75, CI 0.69-0.82), marriage (RR 0.62, CI 0.58-0.66), employment (RR 0.75, CI 0.72-0.79) and household income ≥$40,000 (RR 0.68, CI 0.64-0.73). Even survivors without radiation exposure had elevated risk of chronic conditions, poor health status and social impairment compared with siblings.
Survivors of paediatric astrocytoma are at high risk for long-term complications of their disease and its treatment. They require lifelong monitoring for late effects.
尽管小儿星形细胞瘤的 5 年生存率很高,但幸存者仍面临发病和晚期死亡的风险。本研究旨在评估老年小儿星形细胞瘤幸存者的晚期死亡率、慢性疾病、健康状况不佳和社会障碍的风险。
我们对 1970 年至 1986 年间诊断的 1182 名 5 年星形细胞瘤幸存者和 4023 名参加回顾性队列研究的兄弟姐妹进行了纵向评估。使用 Kaplan-Meier 估计法估计晚期死亡率和严重慢性疾病的累积发病率。Cox 回归模型提供了慢性疾病发展的风险比(HR)及其 95%置信区间(CI),广义线性模型提供了健康状况不佳和社会结局的相对风险(RR)。
从诊断起 30 年,累积晚期死亡率为 22.1%(CI 20.0-24.3%),主要是由于疾病进展或复发。与兄弟姐妹相比,幸存者发生严重慢性疾病的风险增加(HR 4.6,CI 3.8-5.5)。幸存者报告的一般健康状况较差(RR 3.3,CI 2.8-3.8)、心理健康状况较差(RR 1.9,CI 1.7-2.1)、功能障碍(RR 9.0,CI 7.7-10.5)和活动受限(RR 3.6,CI 3.1-4.2)的发生率较高,而大学毕业(RR 0.75,CI 0.69-0.82)、结婚(RR 0.62,CI 0.58-0.66)、就业(RR 0.75,CI 0.72-0.79)和家庭收入≥$40,000(RR 0.68,CI 0.64-0.73)的比例较低。即使幸存者没有接受过放射治疗,与兄弟姐妹相比,他们发生慢性疾病、健康状况不佳和社会障碍的风险也较高。
小儿星形细胞瘤幸存者患疾病及其治疗相关的长期并发症的风险很高。他们需要终身监测晚期效应。