Graduate Institute of Injury Prevention and Control, College of Public Health, Taipei Medical University, Taipei City, Taiwan.
Department of Traffic Management, Taiwan Police College, Taipei City, Taiwan.
PLoS One. 2018 Dec 27;13(12):e0208016. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0208016. eCollection 2018.
Crashes due to motorcyclists colliding with an open car door can cause devastating injuries. In Taiwan, such crashes typically occur when the motorcyclist is travelling alongside a row of parallel-parked cars, and a driver suddenly opens the door in front of or next to the motorcycle without determining whether it is safe to do so. Injuries resulting from motorcycle door crashes tend to be severe. This study examined the factors that contribute to motorcycle door crashes.
By using linked data from the National Traffic Crash Dataset and Emergency Medical Service for Taipei City for the years 2010-2015, this study estimated a mixed multinomial logit model to predict the likelihood of three types of door crashes: driver-door crashes, left passenger-door crashes, and right passenger-door crashes.
Data on 8237 motorcycle door crashes were extracted from the two datasets and matched. The results from the mixed multinomial logit model revealed that illegal parking, older car occupants, teenage car occupants, intoxicated car occupants and motorcyclists, and motorcycle speeding contribute to driver-door crashes; and female passengers and taxis as the type of vehicle involved in crash are associated with left passenger-door crashes.
Our study suggested that controlling motorcycle speed, and prosecuting illegal parking and drink driving/riding may constitute effective countermeasures. The "Dutch Reach" intervention measure, which is commonly adopted in Europe for bicycle door crashes, should be applied in Taiwan to curb motorcycle door crashes, especially for elderly car occupants.
摩托车与打开的汽车车门相撞导致的事故可能会造成严重伤害。在台湾,此类事故通常发生在摩托车与一排并排停放的汽车并行行驶时,司机在没有确定是否安全的情况下突然打开汽车前或旁边的车门。摩托车与车门相撞造成的伤害往往很严重。本研究探讨了导致摩托车车门碰撞事故的因素。
本研究使用了 2010-2015 年国家交通碰撞数据集和台北市紧急医疗服务的链接数据,估计了一个混合多项逻辑回归模型,以预测三种类型的车门碰撞事故的可能性:司机门碰撞事故、左前门碰撞事故和右前门碰撞事故。
从两个数据集共提取了 8237 起摩托车车门碰撞事故的数据并进行了匹配。混合多项逻辑回归模型的结果表明,非法停车、较老的汽车乘客、青少年汽车乘客、醉酒的汽车乘客和摩托车手以及摩托车超速行驶会导致司机门碰撞事故;而女性乘客和出租车作为事故涉及的车辆类型与左前门碰撞事故有关。
本研究表明,控制摩托车速度、起诉非法停车和酒后驾车/骑车可能是有效的对策。在欧洲广泛采用的自行车车门碰撞事故的“荷兰伸手”干预措施应在台湾应用,以遏制摩托车车门碰撞事故,特别是针对老年汽车乘客。