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衰弱建模方法在半竞争风险数据中的应用。

Frailty modelling approaches for semi-competing risks data.

机构信息

Department of Statistics, Pukyong National University, Busan, 608-737, South Korea.

School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.

出版信息

Lifetime Data Anal. 2020 Jan;26(1):109-133. doi: 10.1007/s10985-019-09464-2. Epub 2019 Feb 7.

Abstract

In the semi-competing risks situation where only a terminal event censors a non-terminal event, observed event times can be correlated. Recently, frailty models with an arbitrary baseline hazard have been studied for the analysis of such semi-competing risks data. However, their maximum likelihood estimator can be substantially biased in the finite samples. In this paper, we propose effective modifications to reduce such bias using the hierarchical likelihood. We also investigate the relationship between marginal and hierarchical likelihood approaches. Simulation results are provided to validate performance of the proposed method. The proposed method is illustrated through analysis of semi-competing risks data from a breast cancer study.

摘要

在只有终端事件对非终端事件进行删失的半竞争风险情况下,观察到的事件时间可以相关。最近,已经研究了具有任意基线风险的脆弱性模型,以分析这种半竞争风险数据。然而,它们的极大似然估计在有限样本中可能会有很大的偏差。在本文中,我们使用层次似然法提出了有效的修正方法来减少这种偏差。我们还研究了边缘似然法和层次似然法之间的关系。模拟结果验证了所提出方法的性能。通过对乳腺癌研究中的半竞争风险数据的分析说明了所提出的方法。

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