Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University Songkhla, Thailand.
Epidemiology Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University Songkhla, Thailand.
J Gynecol Oncol. 2019 Mar;30(2):e22. doi: 10.3802/jgo.2019.30.e22. Epub 2018 Nov 22.
To define the present incidence of uterine cancer and the trends of incidence in the future. Additional, subgroup analysis in religion and socio-demographic factors will be analyzed.
The data of uterine cancer from The Songkhla Cancer Registry between; 1989 and 2016, was extracted. The population denominators of Songkhla Province were referred from the information of the population censuses surveyed by the National Statistical Office. The incidence was estimate by; the age specific rate, and analyzed in trend incidence using Jointpoint and Age-period-cohort; APC regression models and trend projection in 2017-2030 using by Jointpoint, the NordPred and APC model. The comparison of incidence according to habitat and religion were unpaired t-test.
The incidence of uterine cancer in Songkhla Province increased from 1.5, to 5.3 per 100,000 women-years in 2016, and 8 per 100,000 women-years in 2030. The incidence was more in urban areas and in Buddhists.
The incidence of uterine cancer is increasing. The policy, which promotes protective factors and control risk factors, would decrease incidence of endometrial cancer, and other estrogen dependent cancers additional to chronic diseases from the cardiovascular system.
定义当前子宫癌的发病率和未来的发病率趋势。此外，还将对宗教和社会人口因素进行亚组分析。
从 1989 年至 2016 年，提取 Songkhla 癌症登记处的子宫癌数据。Songkhla 省的人口基数取自国家统计局调查的人口普查信息。发病率通过特定年龄发病率进行估计，并使用 Jointpoint 和年龄-时期-队列（APC）回归模型分析趋势发病率，使用 Jointpoint、NordPred 和 APC 模型对 2017-2030 年的趋势进行预测。采用非配对 t 检验比较不同居住环境和宗教信仰的发病率差异。
Songkhla 省的子宫癌发病率从 1989 年的每 10 万人年 1.5 例增加到 2016 年的 5.3 例，预计到 2030 年将增加到 8 例。城市地区和佛教徒的发病率更高。
子宫癌的发病率呈上升趋势。促进保护因素和控制风险因素的政策将降低子宫内膜癌的发病率，以及心血管系统等慢性疾病以外的其他雌激素依赖性癌症的发病率。
