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二十世纪全球树木生长的气候驱动因素再分配。

Twentieth century redistribution in climatic drivers of global tree growth.

机构信息

Dendro Sciences Group, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Zürcherstrasse 111, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland.

Department of Ecology, W. Szafer Institute of Botany, Polish Academy of Sciences, ul. Lubicz 46, 31-512 Kraków, Poland.

出版信息

Sci Adv. 2019 Jan 16;5(1):eaat4313. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aat4313. eCollection 2019 Jan.

Abstract

Energy and water limitations of tree growth remain insufficiently understood at large spatiotemporal scales, hindering model representation of interannual or longer-term ecosystem processes. By assessing and statistically scaling the climatic drivers from 2710 tree-ring sites, we identified the boreal and temperate land areas where tree growth during 1930-1960 CE responded positively to temperature (20.8 ± 3.7 Mio km; 25.9 ± 4.6%), precipitation (77.5 ± 3.3 Mio km; 96.4 ± 4.1%), and other parameters. The spatial manifestation of this climate response is determined by latitudinal and altitudinal temperature gradients, indicating that warming leads to geographic shifts in growth limitations. We observed a significant ( < 0.001) decrease in temperature response at cold-dry sites between 1930-1960 and 1960-1990 CE, and the total temperature-limited area shrunk by -8.7 ± 0.6 Mio km. Simultaneously, trees became more limited by atmospheric water demand almost worldwide. These changes occurred under mild warming, and we expect that continued climate change will trigger a major redistribution in growth responses to climate.

摘要

树木生长的能量和水分限制在大时空尺度上仍了解不足,这阻碍了对年际或更长时间尺度生态系统过程的模型表示。通过评估和统计 2710 个树木年轮地点的气候驱动因素,我们确定了在 1930-1960 年期间,树木生长对温度(20.8 ± 3.7 亿平方公里;25.9 ± 4.6%)、降水(77.5 ± 3.3 亿平方公里;96.4 ± 4.1%)和其他参数有积极响应的北方和温带陆地地区。这种气候响应的空间表现取决于纬度和海拔的温度梯度,表明变暖导致了生长限制的地理转移。我们观察到,在 1930-1960 年和 1960-1990 年期间,寒冷干旱地区的温度响应显著(<0.001)下降,受温度限制的总面积减少了-8.7 ± 0.6 亿平方公里。同时,树木在几乎全球范围内受到大气水分需求的限制更大。这些变化是在温和变暖的情况下发生的,我们预计持续的气候变化将引发对气候的生长反应的重大重新分配。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8160/6357745/ff91aa4e0698/aat4313-F1.jpg

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