Abukhanfusa K
Department of History, University of Stockholm, Sweden.
Compr Gerontol C. 1988 Dec;2(1):63-5.
The welfare systems established before or shortly after the Second World War are presently on trial. Changes of strategy appear to be as necessary as they did in Sweden in 1913, but the circumstances are definitely different. One crucial difference is that since 1913 the State has delivered solemn promises which are intended to materialize a life-time from now, but life-times tend to grow longer with each year that passes! The Swedish pension reform of 1913 was overdue, but the next one may prove harder to achieve. Those promises cannot be withdrawn. They form a major element in the present situation, perhaps the one that will prove most fatal to the future of the welfare state and its elderly.
第二次世界大战之前或之后不久建立的福利制度目前正处于考验之中。战略变革似乎与1913年的瑞典一样必要，但情况却截然不同。一个关键的区别是，自1913年以来，国家做出了庄严承诺，这些承诺旨在从现在起实现一生的保障，但随着时间的推移，寿命往往会越来越长！1913年的瑞典养老金改革已经逾期，但下一次改革可能更难实现。这些承诺不能撤回。它们是当前形势的一个主要因素，也许是对福利国家及其老年人的未来最具致命性的因素。
