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南非女性中个体和社区层面因素与性传播感染的相关性:广义加性混合模型的结果。

Correlates of Sexually Transmitted Infections Among South African Women Using Individual- and Community-Level Factors: Results from Generalized Additive Mixed Models.

机构信息

Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Kensington, NSW, 2052, Australia.

Biostatistics Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Durban, Kwazulu-Natal, South Africa.

出版信息

Arch Sex Behav. 2020 Aug;49(6):1875-1886. doi: 10.1007/s10508-018-1315-3. Epub 2019 Feb 14.

Abstract

South Africa has the highest burden of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infections in the world. There is also growing evidence that an individual's risk of contracting HIV is increased by the presence of other sexually transmitted infections (STIs). The primary objective of this study was to examine the association between the prevalence of STIs in a cohort of South African women who enrolled in HIV prevention trials (2002-2012). The current study linked the individual factors with the community-level characteristics using geo-referencing. These multi-level data were analyzed in generalized additive mixed models settings. In the multivariate logistic regression model, younger age (odds ratio [OR] 4.30, 95% CI 3.20, 5.77 and OR 2.72, 95% CI 2.02, 3.66 for age < 25 and 25-29, respectively); being single/not cohabiting (OR 4.57, 95% CI 3.18, 6.53), two + sex partners (OR 1.46, 95% CI 1.18,1.80); parity < 2 (OR 2.04, 95% CI 1.53, 2.72), parity = 2 (OR 1.85, 95% CI 1.37, 2.48), and using injectables (contraceptive) (OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.13, 2.06) were all significantly associated with increased prevalence of STIs. Women who resided in the communities with high proportions of female headed-households were also significantly at higher risk for STIs (OR 1.20, p = .0025). Because these factors may reflect characteristics of the larger groups who share similar cultural norms and social environments, they can provide considerable insight into the spread of STIs. Prevention strategies based on individual and community-level drivers of STIs are likely to be the most effective means of targeting and reaching those at greatest risk of infection. This strategy has the potential to play a significant role in the epidemic's trajectory.

摘要

南非是世界上艾滋病毒(HIV)感染负担最重的国家。越来越多的证据表明,个体感染 HIV 的风险会因其他性传播感染(STI)的存在而增加。本研究的主要目的是调查在参加 HIV 预防试验的南非女性队列中(2002-2012 年),STI 的流行率与哪些因素相关。目前的研究使用地理参考将个体因素与社区层面的特征联系起来。这些多层次的数据在广义加性混合模型环境中进行分析。在多变量逻辑回归模型中,年龄较小(优势比[OR]分别为 4.30,95%置信区间[CI]为 3.20 至 5.77 和 2.72,95%CI 为 2.02 至 3.66,年龄<25 岁和 25-29 岁);单身/未同居(OR 4.57,95%CI 为 3.18 至 6.53),有两个及以上性伴侣(OR 1.46,95%CI 为 1.18 至 1.80);产次<2(OR 2.04,95%CI 为 1.53 至 2.72),产次=2(OR 1.85,95%CI 为 1.37 至 2.48)和使用注射剂(避孕药)(OR 1.53,95%CI 为 1.13 至 2.06)与 STI 的流行率增加显著相关。居住在女性为户主的家庭比例较高的社区的妇女,感染 STI 的风险也显著增加(OR 1.20,p=0.0025)。因为这些因素可能反映了具有相似文化规范和社会环境的更大群体的特征,所以它们可以提供有关 STI 传播的重要见解。基于 STI 的个体和社区层面驱动因素的预防策略,可能是针对和接触那些感染风险最大的人的最有效手段。这种策略有可能在疫情的轨迹中发挥重要作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7c40/6944771/f9e2874e6ac3/nihms-1053845-f0001.jpg

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