Rubio-Fernández Paula
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Brain & Cognitive Sciences, 43 Vassar St., Building 46, Cambridge, MA, 02139, USA; University of Oslo, Department of Philosophy, Georg Morgenstiernes Hus, Blindernveien 31, Oslo, 0313, Norway.
Infant Behav Dev. 2019 Feb;54:177-188. doi: 10.1016/j.infbeh.2018.09.009. Epub 2018 Oct 26.
The Violation-of-Expectation paradigm is a widespread paradigm in infancy research that relies on looking time as an index of surprise. This methodological review aims to increase the reliability of future VoE studies by proposing to standardize reporting practices in this literature. I review 15 VoE studies on false-belief reasoning, which used a variety of experimental parameters. An analysis of the distribution of p-values across experiments suggests an absence of p-hacking. However, there are potential concerns with the accuracy of their measures of infants' attention, as well as with the lack of a consensus on the parameters that should be used to set up VoE studies. I propose that (i) future VoE studies ought to report not only looking times (as a measure of attention) but also looking-away times (as an equally important measure of distraction); (ii) VoE studies must offer theoretical justification for the parameters they use, and (iii) when parameters are selected through piloting, pilot data must be reported in order to understand how parameters were selected. Future VoE studies ought to maximize the accuracy of their measures of infants' attention since the reliability of their results and the validity of their conclusions both depend on the accuracy of their measures.
违背预期范式是婴儿研究中一种广泛使用的范式,它依赖注视时间作为惊讶程度的指标。本方法学综述旨在通过提议规范该文献中的报告做法,提高未来违背预期研究的可靠性。我回顾了15项关于错误信念推理的违背预期研究,这些研究使用了各种实验参数。对各实验p值分布的分析表明不存在p值操纵现象。然而,他们对婴儿注意力测量的准确性以及在用于设置违背预期研究的参数方面缺乏共识,存在潜在问题。我提议:(i)未来的违背预期研究不仅应报告注视时间(作为注意力的一种测量),还应报告转移注视时间(作为同样重要的分心测量);(ii)违背预期研究必须为其使用的参数提供理论依据,并且(iii)当通过预实验选择参数时,必须报告预实验数据,以便了解参数是如何选择的。未来的违背预期研究应最大限度地提高其对婴儿注意力测量的准确性,因为其结果的可靠性和结论的有效性都取决于测量的准确性。