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马其顿重度污染城市中人类生命年数的损失。

Losing Years of Human Life in Heavy Polluted Cities in Macedonia.

作者信息

Dimovska Mirjana, Mladenovska Renata

机构信息

Institute of Public Health of Republic of Macedonia, Skopje, Republic of Macedonia.

Faculty of Medicine, Ss Cyril and Methodius University of Skopje, Skopje, Republic of Macedonia.

出版信息

Open Access Maced J Med Sci. 2019 Feb 6;7(3):428-434. doi: 10.3889/oamjms.2019.149. eCollection 2019 Feb 15.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

The urban air pollution will deteriorate globally, by 2050 outdoor particulate air pollution and ground-level ozone is projected to become the top cause of environmentally related deaths worldwide.

AIM

To assess the burden of diseases due to particulate air pollution and health benefits form the pollution reduction policies.

METHODS

Environmental burden of disease methodology has been applied. Environmental data for population exposure, total years of life lost from all causes, and relevant concentration-response functions have been used in estimation.

RESULTS

The estimated disease burden from all causes (excl. external) is 30,256 YLL (19,436-40,625 95% CI) in Skopje Region, and 10,343 YLL (6,224-14,785 95% CI) in Tetovo. In terms of cardiopulmonary mortality, the estimated disease burden is 9,282/100,000 in Tetovo, in the Skopje Region 3,784/100,000 respectively. Annually in Tetovo 1,645 years of healthy life are lost, while in the Skopje Region 3,936 due to lung cancer premature mortality. The estimated health gain is significant, for the three selected health outcomes if EU limit values are reached, 41-42% of the estimated burden in Skopje Region will be eliminated, and 74-77% in Tetovo.

CONCLUSION

the estimated impact of particulate air pollution on mortality is significant and not negligible. The same applies to the health and well-being of the population if the EU or WHO limit levels are reached.

摘要

引言

全球城市空气污染将恶化,预计到2050年,室外颗粒物空气污染和地面臭氧将成为全球与环境相关死亡的首要原因。

目的

评估颗粒物空气污染导致的疾病负担以及污染减排政策带来的健康效益。

方法

应用了疾病环境负担方法。在估计中使用了人群暴露的环境数据、所有原因导致的总寿命损失年数以及相关的浓度-反应函数。

结果

斯科普里地区所有原因(不包括外部原因)导致的估计疾病负担为30,256寿命损失年(19,436 - 40,625,95%置信区间),泰托沃为10,343寿命损失年(6,224 - 14,785,95%置信区间)。就心肺死亡率而言,泰托沃的估计疾病负担为9,282/10万,斯科普里地区分别为3,784/10万。每年在泰托沃因肺癌过早死亡损失1,645年健康寿命,而在斯科普里地区为3,936年。如果达到欧盟限值,对于选定的三项健康结果,估计的健康效益显著,斯科普里地区将消除41 - 42%的估计负担,泰托沃将消除74 - 77%。

结论

颗粒物空气污染对死亡率的估计影响显著且不可忽视。如果达到欧盟或世界卫生组织的限值水平,对人群健康和福祉的影响同样如此。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3061/6390152/5eab33ed024b/OAMJMS-7-428-g003.jpg

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