Zhang Yunquan, Peng Minjin, Yu Chuanhua, Zhang Lan
Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Health Sciences, Wuhan University, 185 Donghu Road, Wuhan 430071, China.
Department of Infection Control, Taihe Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan 442000, China.
Environ Pollut. 2017 Nov;230:1073-1080. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2017.07.053. Epub 2017 Aug 10.
Ambient particulate matter (PM) has been mainly linked with mortality and morbidity when assessing PM-associated health effects. Up-to-date epidemiologic evidence is very sparse regarding the relation between PM and years of life lost (YLL). The present study aimed to estimate the burden of YLL and mortality due to ambient PM pollution. Individual records of all registered deaths and daily data on PM and meteorology during 2009-2012 were obtained in Wuhan, central China. Using a time-series study design, we applied generalized additive model to assess the short-term association of 10-μg/m increase in PM with daily YLL and mortality, adjusting for long-term trend and seasonality, mean temperature, relative humidity, public holiday, and day of the week. A linear-no-threshold dose-response association was observed between daily ambient PM and mortality outcomes. PM pollution along lag 0-1 days was found to be mostly strongly associated with mortality and YLL. The effects of PM on cause-specific mortality and YLL showed generally similar seasonal patterns, with stronger associations consistently occurring in winter and/or autumn. Compared with males and younger persons, females and the elderly suffered more significantly from both increased YLL and mortality due to ambient PM pollution. Stratified analyses by education level (0-6 and 7 + years) demonstrated great mortality impact on both subgroups, whereas only low-educated persons were strongly affected by PM-associated burden of YLL. Our study confirmed that short-term PM exposure was linearly associated with significant increases in both mortality incidence and years of life lost. Given the non-threshold adverse effects on mortality burden, the on-going efforts to reduce particulate air pollution would substantially benefit public health in China.
在评估与环境颗粒物(PM)相关的健康影响时,环境颗粒物主要与死亡率和发病率相关。关于PM与寿命损失年数(YLL)之间的关系,最新的流行病学证据非常稀少。本研究旨在估计环境PM污染导致的YLL负担和死亡率。在中国中部的武汉市获取了2009 - 2012年期间所有登记死亡的个体记录以及PM和气象的每日数据。采用时间序列研究设计,我们应用广义相加模型来评估PM每增加10μg/m³与每日YLL和死亡率的短期关联,并对长期趋势、季节性、平均温度、相对湿度、公共假日和星期几进行了调整。观察到每日环境PM与死亡率结果之间存在线性无阈值剂量反应关联。发现滞后0 - 1天的PM污染与死亡率和YLL大多密切相关。PM对特定病因死亡率和YLL的影响总体上呈现出相似的季节性模式,在冬季和/或秋季始终存在更强的关联。与男性和年轻人相比,女性和老年人因环境PM污染导致的YLL增加和死亡率上升更为显著。按教育水平(0 - 6年和7年及以上)进行的分层分析表明,对两个亚组都有很大的死亡率影响,而只有低教育水平的人受到与PM相关的YLL负担的强烈影响。我们的研究证实,短期PM暴露与死亡率发生率和寿命损失年数的显著增加呈线性相关。鉴于对死亡率负担存在无阈值的不利影响,正在进行的减少颗粒物空气污染的努力将极大地有益于中国的公众健康。