Graduate School of Simulation Studies, University of Hyogo, 7-1-28 Minatojima-minamimachi, Chuo-ku, Kobe, Hyogo 650-0047, Japan.
School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia.
Phys Rev E. 2019 Feb;99(2-1):022128. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.99.022128.
We consider the problem of (stationary and linear) source systems which generate time series data with long-range correlations. We use the discrete Fourier transform (DFT) and build stationary linear models using artificial time series data exhibiting a 1/f spectrum, where the models can include only terms that contribute significantly to the model as assessed by information criteria. The result is that the optimal (best) model is only composed of mixed periodicities [that is, the model does not include all (continuous) periodicities] and the time series data generated by the model exhibit a clear 1/f spectrum in a wide frequency range. It is considered that as the 1/f spectrum is a consequence of the contributions of all periods, consecutive periods are indispensable to generate such data by stationary linear models. However, the results indicate that there are cases where this expectation is not always met. These results also imply that although we can know linear features of time series data using the DFT, we always cannot substantially infer the type of the source system, even if the system is stationary linear.
我们研究了具有长程相关性的(平稳和线性)源系统的问题。我们使用离散傅里叶变换(DFT),并使用表现出 1/f 谱的人工时间序列数据构建平稳线性模型,其中模型只能包含信息标准评估对模型有显著贡献的项。结果是,最优(最佳)模型仅由混合周期组成[即,模型不包括所有(连续)周期],并且由模型生成的时间序列数据在很宽的频率范围内表现出清晰的 1/f 谱。有人认为,由于 1/f 谱是所有周期贡献的结果,因此连续周期对于通过平稳线性模型生成此类数据是必不可少的。然而,结果表明,并非总是如此。这些结果还表明,尽管我们可以使用 DFT 了解时间序列数据的线性特征,但即使系统是平稳线性的,我们也不能完全推断出源系统的类型。