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Z估计框架下多个函数参数的一致有效后正则化置信区域

UNIFORMLY VALID POST-REGULARIZATION CONFIDENCE REGIONS FOR MANY FUNCTIONAL PARAMETERS IN Z-ESTIMATION FRAMEWORK.

作者信息

Belloni Alexandre, Chernozhukov Victor, Chetverikov Denis, Wei Ying

机构信息

Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, 100 Fuqua Drive, Durham, North Carolina 27708, USA,

Department of Economics and Operations Research Center, MIT, 50 Memorial Drive, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02142, USA,

出版信息

Ann Stat. 2018 Dec;46(6B):3643-3675. doi: 10.1214/17-AOS1671. Epub 2018 Sep 11.

Abstract

In this paper, we develop procedures to construct simultaneous confidence bands for potentially infinite-dimensional parameters after model selection for general moment condition models where is potentially much larger than the sample size of available data, . This allows us to cover settings with functional response data where each of the parameters is a function. The procedure is based on the construction of score functions that satisfy Neyman orthogonality condition approximately. The proposed simultaneous confidence bands rely on uniform central limit theorems for high-dimensional vectors (and not on Donsker arguments as we allow for ). To construct the bands, we employ a multiplier bootstrap procedure which is computationally efficient as it only involves resampling the estimated score functions (and does not require resolving the high-dimensional optimization problems). We formally apply the general theory to inference on regression coefficient process in the distribution regression model with a logistic link, where two implementations are analyzed in detail. Simulations and an application to real data are provided to help illustrate the applicability of the results.

摘要

在本文中,我们针对一般矩条件模型在模型选择后构建针对潜在无限维参数的同时置信带,其中参数数量可能远大于可用数据的样本量。这使我们能够涵盖具有函数响应数据的情形,其中每个参数都是一个函数。该方法基于构建近似满足奈曼正交性条件的得分函数。所提出的同时置信带依赖于高维向量的一致中心极限定理(并且不像我们允许的那样依赖于唐斯克论证)。为了构建这些带,我们采用乘数自助法,该方法计算效率高,因为它只涉及对估计的得分函数进行重采样(并且不需要解决高维优化问题)。我们正式将一般理论应用于具有逻辑链接的分布回归模型中回归系数过程的推断,详细分析了两种实现方式。提供了模拟和对实际数据的应用,以帮助说明结果的适用性。

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