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在挤奶厅检测牛趾间皮炎:洗还是不洗,一种贝叶斯超总体方法

Detecting bovine digital dermatitis in the milking parlour: To wash or not to wash, a Bayesian superpopulation approach.

作者信息

Yang D A, Laven R A

机构信息

School of Veterinary Science, Massey University, Palmerston North 4442, New Zealand.

School of Veterinary Science, Massey University, Palmerston North 4442, New Zealand.

出版信息

Vet J. 2019 May;247:38-43. doi: 10.1016/j.tvjl.2019.02.011. Epub 2019 Mar 2.

Abstract

Visual assessment in the milking parlour is a commonly used method to determine the prevalence and severity of bovine digital dermatitis (BDD). It is generally suggested that cows' feet are washed prior to examination to maximise the sensitivity of the assessment, but concern has been expressed that washing cows' feet could contaminate the teats and lead to intramammary infection. Furthermore, the evidence for washing cows' feet is equivocal, as some studies have reported similar sensitivities for detecting BDD without washing as that reported by studies which used washing. Furthermore most of these studies have used data from housed cattle. The findings from these studies may not be applicable to cattle at pasture where feet are often contaminated with mud rather than faeces and lesions may be smaller and less severe. The aim of this study was to compare, in cattle at pasture, the sensitivities of BDD examinations before and after washing. Two herds known to have BDD were enrolled and approximately half of each herd was screened for BDD by examining the cows' hind feet before and after washing. The sensitivities of these examinations were estimated using a Bayesian superpopulation approach, and were found to be 0.34 (95% credible interval [CrI]: 0.088-0.69) and 0.63 (95%CrI: 0.46-0.78) for pre- and post-washing, respectively. There was a 93.95% probability that the sensitivity of examination post-washing was greater than that pre-washing. These results suggest that in pasture-based herds, many BDD lesions will be missed if cattle are examined without their feet being washed.

摘要

在挤奶厅进行视觉评估是确定牛趾间皮炎(BDD)患病率和严重程度的常用方法。一般建议在检查前清洗牛蹄,以最大限度地提高评估的敏感性,但有人担心清洗牛蹄可能会污染乳头并导致乳房内感染。此外,清洗牛蹄的证据并不明确,因为一些研究报告称,不清洗检测BDD的敏感性与使用清洗的研究报告的敏感性相似。此外,这些研究大多使用圈养牛的数据。这些研究的结果可能不适用于牧场中的牛,因为在牧场中,牛蹄通常被泥土而非粪便污染,而且病变可能更小、更不严重。本研究的目的是比较牧场中牛在清洗前后BDD检查的敏感性。招募了两个已知患有BDD的牛群,每个牛群中约一半的牛在清洗前后检查其后蹄,以筛查BDD。使用贝叶斯超总体方法估计这些检查的敏感性,发现清洗前和清洗后的敏感性分别为0.34(95%可信区间[CrI]:0.088 - 0.69)和0.63(95%CrI:0.46 - 0.78)。清洗后检查的敏感性高于清洗前的可能性为93.95%。这些结果表明,在以牧场为基础的牛群中,如果不清洗牛蹄就进行检查,许多BDD病变将会被漏检。

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