Carlsen N L
Br J Cancer. 1986 Dec;54(6):977-88. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1986.270.
During the period 1943-1980 a significant increase in the incidence of neuroblastoma was seen in Denmark. The incidence increased from a level corresponding to that in Finland to a level corresponding to that in the USA, and the increase appears to be continuing. The increase relates to children aged under 5 years, and is most pronounced in infants under 1 year. The incidence in the first year of life has, however, not yet reached the level of the USA. The increase in incidence is most likely a result of improved diagnosis, changes in the social composition of the population, and an increase in environmental carcinogens of importance in the induction of neuroblastomas. The incidence is lower in children of self-employed parents, and higher in infants of mothers aged under 20 or over 34 years. Aside from lower socio-economic circumstances for mothers under 20 years, no specific risk factors were revealed in this study. The observations of a family in which the mother has ganglioneuroma and both daughters have developed neuroblastoma, of a child who suffered from both neuroblastoma and neurofibromatosis von Recklinghausen, and of a significantly higher frequency of infants with signs of multicentric tumours in the offspring of mothers aged under 20 and over 34 years of age, is consistent with the two-hit theory of Knudson et al. (1972).
在1943年至1980年期间,丹麦神经母细胞瘤的发病率显著上升。发病率从与芬兰相当的水平升至与美国相当的水平,且这种上升似乎仍在持续。这种上升与5岁以下儿童有关,在1岁以下婴儿中最为明显。然而,1岁婴儿的发病率尚未达到美国的水平。发病率上升很可能是诊断改善、人口社会构成变化以及对神经母细胞瘤诱发具有重要意义的环境致癌物增加的结果。自营职业父母的子女发病率较低,20岁以下或34岁以上母亲的婴儿发病率较高。除了20岁以下母亲的社会经济状况较低外,本研究未发现具体的风险因素。对一个家庭的观察结果显示,母亲患有神经节神经瘤且两个女儿都患了神经母细胞瘤;一个孩子同时患有神经母细胞瘤和冯雷克林霍增氏神经纤维瘤病;20岁以下和34岁以上母亲的后代中出现多中心肿瘤迹象的婴儿频率显著更高,这些观察结果与克努森等人(1972年)的双击理论一致。