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法国 ICU 出院患者的年龄与短期和长期死亡率的关联。

Association of Age With Short-term and Long-term Mortality Among Patients Discharged From Intensive Care Units in France.

机构信息

Caisse Nationale d'Assurance Maladie (CNAM), Paris, France.

Bloomsbury Institute for Intensive Care Medicine, Division of Medicine, University College London, London, United Kingdom.

出版信息

JAMA Netw Open. 2019 May 3;2(5):e193215. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.3215.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

An aging population is increasing the need for intensive care unit (ICU) beds. The benefit of ICU admission for elderly patients remains a subject of debate; however, long-term outcomes across all adult age strata are unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To describe short-term and long-term mortality (up to 3 years after discharge) across age strata in adult patients admitted to French ICUs.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Using data extracted from the French national health system database, this cohort study determined in-hospital mortality and mortality at 3 months and 3 years after discharge of adult patients (older than 18 years) admitted to French ICUs from January 1 to December 31, 2013, focusing on age strata. The dates of analysis were November 2017 to December 2018.

EXPOSURE

Intensive care unit admission.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

In-hospital mortality and mortality at 3 months and 3 years after hospital discharge.

RESULTS

The study included 133 966 patients (median age, 65 years [interquartile range, 53-76 years); 59.9% male). Total in-hospital mortality was 19.0%, and 3-year mortality was 39.7%. For the 108 539 patients discharged alive from the hospital, 6.8% died by 3 months, and 25.8% died by 3 years after hospital discharge. After adjustment for sex, comorbidities, reason for hospitalization, and organ support (invasive ventilation, noninvasive ventilation, vasopressors, inotropes, fluid resuscitation, blood products administration, cardiopulmonary resuscitation, renal replacement therapy, and mechanical circulatory support), risk of mortality increased progressively across all age strata but with a sharp increase in those 80 years and older. In-hospital and 3-year postdischarge mortality rates, respectively, were 30.5% and 44.9% in patients 80 years and older compared with 16.5% and 22.5% in those younger than 80 years. Total 3-year mortality was 61.4% among patients 80 years and older vs 35.1% in those younger than 80. After age and sex standardization, excess mortality was highest among young patients during their first year after hospital discharge and persisted into the second and third years. In contrast, the mortality risk was close to the general population risk among elderly patients (≥80 years). Age and reason for hospitalization were strongly associated with long-term mortality (9-, 13-, and 20-fold increase in the risk of death 3 years after ICU discharge in patients aged 80-84, 85-89, and ≥90 years, respectively, compared with patients aged <35 years), while organ support use during ICU showed a weaker association (all organ support had 1.3-fold or lower increase in the risk of death).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Results of this study suggest that aging was associated with an increased risk of mortality in the 3 years after hospital discharge that included an ICU admission, with a sharp increase in those 80 years and older. However, compared with the general population matched by age and sex, excess long-term mortality was high in young surviving patients but not in elderly patients.

摘要

重要性

人口老龄化增加了对重症监护病房(ICU)床位的需求。老年患者入住 ICU 的益处仍然存在争议;然而,所有成年年龄层的长期结果尚不清楚。

目的

描述法国 ICU 收治的成年患者在年龄层内的短期和长期死亡率(出院后 3 年)。

设计、地点和参与者:本队列研究使用从法国国家卫生系统数据库中提取的数据,确定了 2013 年 1 月 1 日至 12 月 31 日期间入住法国 ICU 的成年患者(年龄大于 18 岁)的院内死亡率和出院后 3 个月和 3 年的死亡率,重点是年龄层。分析日期为 2017 年 11 月至 2018 年 12 月。

暴露

入住重症监护病房。

主要结果和测量指标

院内死亡率和出院后 3 个月和 3 年的死亡率。

结果

研究纳入了 133966 名患者(中位年龄 65 岁[四分位距 53-76 岁];59.9%为男性)。总院内死亡率为 19.0%,3 年死亡率为 39.7%。对于从医院出院存活的 108539 名患者,出院后 3 个月内有 6.8%的患者死亡,3 年内有 25.8%的患者死亡。在校正性别、合并症、住院原因和器官支持(有创通气、无创通气、血管加压素、正性肌力药、液体复苏、血液制品输注、心肺复苏、肾脏替代治疗和机械循环支持)后,所有年龄层的死亡风险均呈递增趋势,但 80 岁及以上患者的死亡风险急剧增加。在 80 岁及以上患者中,院内和出院后 3 年的死亡率分别为 30.5%和 44.9%,而在 80 岁以下患者中分别为 16.5%和 22.5%。在 80 岁及以上患者中,总 3 年死亡率为 61.4%,而在 80 岁以下患者中为 35.1%。在年龄和性别标准化后,年轻患者出院后第一年的死亡风险最高,并且这种风险持续到第二年和第三年。相比之下,老年患者(≥80 岁)的死亡风险接近一般人群的风险。年龄和住院原因与长期死亡率密切相关(与年龄<35 岁的患者相比,80-84 岁、85-89 岁和≥90 岁的患者在 ICU 出院后 3 年死亡的风险分别增加了 9 倍、13 倍和 20 倍),而 ICU 期间使用器官支持的相关性较弱(所有器官支持的死亡风险增加了 1.3 倍或更低)。

结论和相关性

本研究结果表明,年龄与 ICU 住院后 3 年内的死亡风险增加有关,80 岁及以上患者的死亡风险急剧增加。然而,与年龄和性别匹配的一般人群相比,年轻幸存患者的长期过度死亡风险较高,但老年患者的风险并不高。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3ebd/6512465/cedd51515b1a/jamanetwopen-2-e193215-g001.jpg

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