Hill A D, Fowler R A, Pinto R, Herridge M S, Cuthbertson B H, Scales D C
Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Sunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Crit Care. 2016 Mar 31;20:76. doi: 10.1186/s13054-016-1248-y.
The purpose of this study was to examine hospital mortality, long-term mortality, and health service utilization among critically ill patients. We also determined whether these outcomes differed according to demographic and clinical characteristics.
We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults (age ≥ 18 years) who survived admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) in Ontario, Canada, between 1 April 2002 and 31 March 2012, excluding isolated admissions to step-down or intermediate ICUs, coronary care ICUs, or cardiac surgery ICUs. Adults (age ≥ 18 years) who survived an acute hospitalization that did not include an ICU stay formed the comparator group. The primary outcome was mortality following hospital discharge. Secondary outcomes were healthcare utilization, including emergency room admissions and hospital readmissions during follow-up.
Over the study interval, 500,124 patients were admitted to ICUs and 420,187 (84%) survived to hospital discharge. Median follow-up for survivors was 5.3 (interquartile range 2.5, 8.2) years. Patients admitted to an ICU were more likely to subsequently visit the emergency department, be readmitted to the hospital and ICU, receive home care support, require rehabilitation, and be admitted for long-term care. Those requiring more resources within the ICU required more resources after discharge. One-third of patients admitted to the ICU died during long-term follow-up, with overall probabilities of death of 11% and 29% at 1 year and 5 years, respectively. In the adjusted analysis, there was an increasing hazard of death with increasing age, reaching a hazard ratio of 18.08 (95 % confidence interval 16.60-19.68) for those ≥ 85 years of age compared with those aged 18-24 years.
Healthcare utilization after hospital discharge was higher among ICU patients, and also among those requiring more healthcare resources during their ICU admission, than among all hospitalized patients as a group. One-third of ICU patients died within the 5 years following discharge, and age was the most influential determinant of outcome. These findings should help target post-ICU discharge services for high-risk groups and better inform goals-of-care discussions for elderly critically ill patients.
本研究旨在调查危重症患者的医院死亡率、长期死亡率及医疗服务利用情况。我们还确定了这些结果是否因人口统计学和临床特征而异。
我们对2002年4月1日至2012年3月31日期间在加拿大安大略省入住重症监护病房(ICU)后存活的成年人(年龄≥18岁)进行了一项回顾性队列研究,排除了转入降级或中级ICU、冠心病监护病房或心脏外科ICU的单独病例。在未入住ICU的情况下急性住院存活的成年人(年龄≥18岁)构成对照组。主要结局是出院后的死亡率。次要结局是医疗服务利用情况,包括随访期间的急诊入院和再次住院情况。
在研究期间,500124例患者入住ICU,420187例(84%)存活至出院。幸存者的中位随访时间为5.3年(四分位间距2.5,8.2)。入住ICU的患者随后更有可能前往急诊科、再次入住医院和ICU、接受家庭护理支持、需要康复治疗以及入住长期护理机构。在ICU内需要更多资源的患者出院后也需要更多资源。入住ICU的患者中有三分之一在长期随访期间死亡,1年和5年时的总体死亡概率分别为11%和29%。在多因素分析中,死亡风险随年龄增长而增加,85岁及以上患者与18至24岁患者相比,风险比达到18.08(95%置信区间16.60-19.68)。
与所有住院患者总体相比,ICU患者出院后的医疗服务利用率更高,在ICU住院期间需要更多医疗资源的患者也是如此。三分之一的ICU患者在出院后5年内死亡,年龄是结局的最主要影响因素。这些发现应有助于针对高危人群开展ICU出院后服务,并为老年危重症患者的医疗目标讨论提供更充分的信息。