Formerly Outbreak Investigation Task Force, Centre for Global Health, Institut Pasteur, 75015, Paris, France.
Direction of infectious diseases, Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, 94410, France.
Sci Rep. 2019 May 14;9(1):7385. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-43586-9.
Since its emergence in 2012, 2,260 cases and 803 deaths due to Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) have been reported to the World Health Organization. Most cases were due to transmission in healthcare settings, sometimes causing large outbreaks. We analyzed epidemiologic and clinical data of laboratory-confirmed MERS-CoV cases from eleven healthcare-associated outbreaks in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Republic of Korea between 2015-2017. We quantified key epidemiological differences between outbreaks. Twenty-five percent (n = 105/422) of MERS cases who acquired infection in a hospital setting were healthcare personnel. In multivariate analyses, age ≥65 (OR 4.8, 95%CI: 2.6-8.7) and the presence of underlying comorbidities (OR: 2.7, 95% CI: 1.3-5.7) were associated with increased mortality whereas working as healthcare personnel was protective (OR 0.07, 95% CI: 0.01-0.34). At the start of these outbreaks, the reproduction number ranged from 1.0 to 5.7; it dropped below 1 within 2 to 6 weeks. This study provides a comprehensive characterization of MERS HCA-outbreaks. Our results highlight heterogeneities in the epidemiological profile of healthcare-associated outbreaks. The limitations of our study stress the urgent need for standardized data collection for high-threat respiratory pathogens, such as MERS-CoV.
自 2012 年出现以来,世界卫生组织已报告中东呼吸综合征冠状病毒(MERS-CoV)导致 2260 例病例和 803 例死亡。大多数病例是由于在医疗保健环境中传播引起的,有时会导致大规模暴发。我们分析了 2015 年至 2017 年期间在沙特阿拉伯王国和韩国的 11 起与医疗保健相关的暴发中实验室确诊的 MERS-CoV 病例的流行病学和临床数据。我们量化了暴发之间的关键流行病学差异。在医院环境中感染的 MERS 病例中,有 25%(n=105/422)为医务人员。在多变量分析中,年龄≥65 岁(OR 4.8,95%CI:2.6-8.7)和存在潜在合并症(OR:2.7,95%CI:1.3-5.7)与死亡率增加相关,而医务人员工作则具有保护作用(OR 0.07,95%CI:0.01-0.34)。在这些暴发开始时,繁殖数范围为 1.0 至 5.7;在 2 至 6 周内降至 1 以下。本研究全面描述了 MERS 与医疗保健相关的暴发。我们的研究结果强调了医疗保健相关暴发的流行病学特征存在异质性。我们研究的局限性强调了迫切需要为高威胁性呼吸道病原体(如 MERS-CoV)进行标准化数据收集。