Research Center of Resource and Environment Economics, Mineral Resource Strategy and Policy Research Center, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China.
School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 May 25;16(10):1854. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16101854.
China launched the pilot construction of the carbon emission trading scheme (ETS) in 2011. The pilots have been running for many years. Does ETS significantly restrain the increase of carbon emission intensity? Based on China's panel data for provinces and industries, this paper uses the policy assessment method to evaluate the inhibition by ETS of carbon emission intensity. The assessment scope includes six provincial pilots and pilot industries covered by ETS. The results show that ETS has significant suppression of carbon emission intensity only in Beijing and Guangdong. There is no significant impact on the carbon emission intensity of Tianjin, Shanghai, Chongqing, and Hubei. Through the carbon emission intensity inhibition analysis of the industries covered by ETS from Beijing and Chongqing, the results of the production and supply of electric power, steam and hot water, petroleum processing and coking in Beijing have a significant impact on the ETS. Only the smelting and pressing of ferrous metals in Chongqing has a significant impact on the ETS.
中国于 2011 年启动了碳排放交易体系（ETS）的试点建设。这些试点已经运行多年。ETS 是否显著抑制了碳排放强度的增加？本文基于中国省级和行业的面板数据，采用政策评估方法评估了 ETS 对碳排放强度的抑制作用。评估范围包括六个省级试点和 ETS 覆盖的试点行业。结果表明，ETS 仅在北京和广东对碳排放强度具有显著的抑制作用。对天津、上海、重庆和湖北的碳排放强度没有显著影响。通过对北京和重庆 ETS 覆盖行业的碳排放强度抑制分析，结果表明，北京的电力、蒸汽和热水生产供应以及石油加工和焦化行业对 ETS 有显著影响。而重庆仅黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业对 ETS 有显著影响。
