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经济增长、能源消耗、贸易开放度和金融发展对碳排放的影响:来自土耳其的经验证据。

The impact of economic growth, energy consumption, trade openness, and financial development on carbon emissions: empirical evidence from Turkey.

机构信息

Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Namik Kemal University, Tekirdag, Turkey.

Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Erciyes University, Kayseri, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2018 Dec;25(36):36589-36603. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-3526-5. Epub 2018 Oct 30.

Abstract

This study examines the impact of economic growth, energy consumption, trade openness, financial development on carbon emissions for the case of Turkey by using annual time series data for the period of 1960-2013. The Lee and Strazicich test suggests that the variables are suitable for applying the bounds testing approach to cointegration. The cointegration analysis reveals that there exists a long-run relationship between the per capita real income, per capita energy consumption, trade openness, financial development, and per capita carbon emissions in the presence of structural breaks. The results show that in the long run, carbon emissions are mainly determined by economic growth, energy consumption, trade openness, and financial development. The VECM Granger causality analysis indicates a long-run unidirectional causality running from economic growth, energy consumption, trade openness, and financial development to carbon emissions. The findings also show that the EKC hypothesis is valid for Turkey both in the long run and short run. The study provides some implications for policy makers to decrease carbon emissions in Turkey.

摘要

本研究利用 1960 年至 2013 年期间的年度时间序列数据,考察了经济增长、能源消费、贸易开放、金融发展对土耳其碳排放的影响。李和斯特拉齐奇检验表明,这些变量适合应用于协整的边界检验方法。协整分析表明,在存在结构断点的情况下,人均实际收入、人均能源消费、贸易开放度、金融发展与人均碳排放之间存在长期关系。结果表明,在长期内,碳排放主要由经济增长、能源消费、贸易开放和金融发展决定。VECM 格兰杰因果关系分析表明,从经济增长、能源消费、贸易开放和金融发展到碳排放存在长期单向因果关系。研究结果还表明,土耳其的 EKC 假说在长期和短期都是有效的。本研究为土耳其的政策制定者减少碳排放提供了一些启示。

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