Huang Anning, Wang Junbo, Dai Yongjiu, Yang Kun, Wei Nan, Wen Lijuan, Wu Yang, Zhu Xueyan, Zhang Xindan, Cai Shuxin
CMA-NJU Joint Laboratory for Climate Prediction Studies, School of Atmospheric Sciences Nanjing University Nanjing China.
Key Laboratory of Tibetan Environment Changes and Land Surface Processes Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences Bejing China.
J Geophys Res Atmos. 2019 Mar 27;124(6):3143-3167. doi: 10.1029/2018JD029610. Epub 2019 Mar 21.
The ability of FLake, WRF-Lake, and CoLM-Lake models in simulating the thermal features of Lake Nam Co in Central Tibetan Plateau has been evaluated in this study. All the three models with default settings exhibited distinct errors in the simulated vertical temperature profile. Then model calibration was conducted by adjusting three (four) key parameters within FLake and CoLM-Lake (WRF-Lake) in a series of sensitive experiments. Results showed that each model's performance is sensitive to the key parameters and becomes much better when adjusting all the key parameters relative to tuning single parameter. Overall, setting the temperature of maximum water density to 1.1 °C instead of 4 °C in the three models consistently leads to improved vertical thermal structure simulation during cold seasons; reducing the light extinction coefficient in FLake results in much deeper mixed layer and warmer thermocline during warm seasons in better agreement with the observation. The vertical thermal structure can be clearly improved by decreasing the light extinction coefficient and increasing the turbulent mixing in WRF-Lake and CoLM-Lake during warm seasons. Meanwhile, the modeled water temperature profile in warm seasons can be significantly improved by further replacing the constant surface roughness lengths by a parameterized scheme in WRF-Lake. Further intercomparison indicates that among the three calibrated models, FLake (WRF-Lake) performs the best to simulate the temporal evolution and intensity of temperature in the layers shallower (deeper) than 10 m, while WRF-Lake is the best at simulating the amplitude and pattern of the temperature variability at all depths.
本研究评估了FLake模型、WRF-Lake模型和CoLM-Lake模型模拟青藏高原中部纳木错湖热特征的能力。在默认设置下,这三个模型在模拟垂直温度剖面时均表现出明显误差。然后,通过在一系列敏感性实验中调整FLake模型和CoLM-Lake模型(WRF-Lake模型)中的三个(四个)关键参数进行模型校准。结果表明,每个模型的性能对关键参数都很敏感,相对于调整单个参数,调整所有关键参数时模型性能会有显著提升。总体而言,在这三个模型中将最大水密度温度设置为1.1℃而非4℃,在寒冷季节能持续改善垂直热结构模拟;在FLake模型中降低光衰减系数,在温暖季节会使混合层更深、温跃层更暖,与观测结果更吻合。在温暖季节,通过降低WRF-Lake模型和CoLM-Lake模型中的光衰减系数并增加湍流混合,可以明显改善垂直热结构。同时,在WRF-Lake模型中,通过用参数化方案进一步替代恒定的表面粗糙度长度,可以显著改善温暖季节模拟的水温剖面。进一步的相互比较表明,在三个校准模型中,FLake模型(WRF-Lake模型)在模拟深度小于(大于)10米的各层温度的时间演变和强度方面表现最佳,而WRF-Lake模型在模拟所有深度温度变化的幅度和模式方面表现最佳。