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对参与英国大气层核武器试验和实验计划的英国男性的癌症死亡率和发病率的总结。

A summary of mortality and incidence of cancer in men from the United Kingdom who participated in the United Kingdom's atmospheric nuclear weapon tests and experimental programmes.

作者信息

Darby S C, Kendall G M, Fell T P, O'Hagan J A, Muirhead C R, Ennis J R, Ball A M, Dennis J A, Doll R

机构信息

University of Oxford, Gibson Laboratories, Radcliffe Infirmary.

出版信息

Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1988 Jan 30;296(6618):332-8. doi: 10.1136/bmj.296.6618.332.

Abstract

Altogether 22,347 men who participated in the United Kingdom's atmospheric nuclear weapon tests and experimental programmes in Australia and the Pacific Ocean between 1952 and 1967 were identified from the archives of the Ministry of Defence and followed up. Their mortality and incidence of cancer were compared with those in 22,326 matched controls selected from the same archives. The risk of mortality in the participants relative to that in the controls was 1.01 for all causes and 0.96 for all neoplasms. Thirty eight causes of death were examined separately. Significant differences in mortality were found for leukaemia, multiple myeloma, and other injury and poisoning, with higher rates in the participants, and for cancers of the prostate and kidney and chronic bronchitis, with higher rates in the controls. The mortality from leukaemia and multiple myeloma in the participants was slightly greater than would have been expected from national values (standardised mortality ratios of 113 and 111, respectively), but in the controls it was substantially lower (standardised mortality ratios of 32 and 0, respectively). Examination of the rates of leukaemia and multiple myeloma in groups of participants showed very little difference between groups characterised by recorded doses of external radiation or type of test participation and failed to indicate any specific hazard. Evidence obtained from participants who reported themselves voluntarily (or were reported by relatives or friends) suggested that 17% of participants may have been omitted from the main study group but that any resulting bias was small. Most of the differences observed between the participants and controls were interpreted as due to chance, but some may be due to differences in smoking habits. Participation in the test programme did not seem, in itself, to have caused any detectable effect on the participants' expectation of life, apart from possibly causing small risks of developing leukaemia and multiple myeloma.

摘要

从国防部档案中识别出1952年至1967年间参与英国在澳大利亚和太平洋进行的大气层核武器试验及实验项目的共计22347名男性,并对其进行随访。将他们的死亡率和癌症发病率与从同一档案中选取的22326名匹配对照者的死亡率和癌症发病率进行比较。参与者相对于对照者的全因死亡风险为1.01,所有肿瘤的死亡风险为0.96。分别检查了38种死因。发现白血病、多发性骨髓瘤以及其他损伤和中毒的死亡率存在显著差异,参与者中的发生率较高;前列腺癌、肾癌和慢性支气管炎的死亡率也存在显著差异,对照者中的发生率较高。参与者中白血病和多发性骨髓瘤的死亡率略高于根据全国数据预期的水平(标准化死亡率分别为113和111),但对照者中的死亡率则显著较低(标准化死亡率分别为32和0)。对不同组参与者的白血病和多发性骨髓瘤发病率进行检查发现,以记录的外照射剂量或试验参与类型为特征的组之间差异极小,未显示出任何特定危害。从自愿报告(或由亲属或朋友报告)的参与者那里获得的证据表明,17%的参与者可能被排除在主要研究组之外,但由此产生的偏差很小。参与者与对照者之间观察到的大多数差异被解释为是由于偶然因素,但有些差异可能是由于吸烟习惯不同所致。参与试验项目本身似乎并未对参与者的预期寿命产生任何可检测到的影响,只是可能会导致患白血病和多发性骨髓瘤的风险略有增加。

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