Skajaa Nils, Horváth-Puhó Erzsébet, Adelborg Kasper, Prandoni Paolo, Rothman Kenneth J, Sørensen Henrik Toft
Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
TH Open. 2019 Jun 18;3(2):e171-e179. doi: 10.1055/s-0039-1692399. eCollection 2019 Apr.
Many cardiovascular conditions exhibit seasonality in occurrence and mortality, but little is known about the seasonality of venous thromboembolism. Using Danish registries, we identified all patients with deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, splanchnic vein thrombosis, cerebral vein thrombosis, and retinal vein thrombosis during 1977-2016. We tallied monthly deaths occurring within 90 days of the venous thromboembolism diagnosis. We estimated peak-to-trough ratios and timing of the peak of both diagnoses and deaths summed over all years of the study period. The departure from 1.0 of the peak-to-trough ratio measures the intensity of any seasonal pattern. We estimated a peak-to-trough ratio of 1.09 (95% confidence interval: 1.07-1.11) for deep vein thrombosis and 1.22 (1.19-1.24) for pulmonary embolism occurrence. The peak-to-trough ratios for splanchnic vein thrombosis, cerebral vein thrombosis, and retinal vein thrombosis occurrence were 1.10 (1.01-1.20), 1.19 (1.00-1.40), and 1.12 (1.07-1.17), respectively. The occurrence of all conditions peaked during winter or fall. In time trend analyses, the peak-to-trough ratio increased considerably for splanchnic vein thrombosis, cerebral vein thrombosis, and retinal vein thrombosis occurrence. In associated mortality, the peak-to-trough ratio for deep vein thrombosis was larger (1.15, 1.07-1.23) than that for pulmonary embolism (1.04, 1.01-1.08). Excess winter risks were modest, but more marked for pulmonary embolism occurrence than for deep vein thrombosis occurrence. The seasonal pattern intensified throughout the study period for splanchnic vein thrombosis, cerebral vein thrombosis, and retinal vein thrombosis. The winter peak in mortality following pulmonary embolism was smaller than that for deep vein thrombosis.
许多心血管疾病在发病率和死亡率方面呈现季节性,但关于静脉血栓栓塞的季节性却知之甚少。
利用丹麦的登记资料,我们确定了1977年至2016年期间所有患有深静脉血栓形成、肺栓塞、内脏静脉血栓形成、脑静脉血栓形成和视网膜静脉血栓形成的患者。我们统计了静脉血栓栓塞诊断后90天内的月度死亡人数。我们估计了整个研究期间所有年份诊断和死亡人数总和的峰谷比及峰值出现时间。峰谷比偏离1.0衡量了任何季节性模式的强度。
我们估计深静脉血栓形成的峰谷比为1.09(95%置信区间:1.07 - 1.11),肺栓塞发生的峰谷比为1.2(1.19 - 1.24)。内脏静脉血栓形成、脑静脉血栓形成和视网膜静脉血栓形成发生的峰谷比分别为1.10(1.01 - 1.20)、1.19(1.00 - 1.40)和1.12(1.07 - 1.17)。所有疾病的发病高峰均出现在冬季或秋季。在时间趋势分析中,内脏静脉血栓形成、脑静脉血栓形成和视网膜静脉血栓形成发生的峰谷比显著增加。在相关死亡率方面,深静脉血栓形成的峰谷比(1.15,1.07 - 1.23)大于肺栓塞的峰谷比(1.04,1.01 - 1.08)。
冬季额外风险较小,但肺栓塞发生的风险比深静脉血栓形成的风险更明显。在内脏静脉血栓形成、脑静脉血栓形成和视网膜静脉血栓形成方面,季节性模式在整个研究期间有所加剧。肺栓塞后死亡率的冬季高峰低于深静脉血栓形成后的冬季高峰。