Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Computational Epidemiology Group, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Trends Parasitol. 2019 Oct;35(10):743-746. doi: 10.1016/j.pt.2019.06.005. Epub 2019 Jul 3.
Disease mapping has evolved to a powerful field in epidemiology and public health to focus interventions. Increased precision has come at the expense of interpretability. We propose that future efforts should focus on causal inference to evaluate and predict the effectiveness of intervention strategies to guide decisions more effectively.
疾病制图在流行病学和公共卫生领域已经发展成为一个强大的领域，以专注于干预措施。精度的提高是以可解释性为代价的。我们建议未来的工作重点应该放在因果推理上，以评估和预测干预策略的有效性，从而更有效地指导决策。
