Bristol Medical School: Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Bristol Medical School: Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Vaccine. 2019 Aug 14;37(35):5067-5072. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.056. Epub 2019 Jul 8.
Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) is one of the most widely-used vaccines worldwide. BCG primarily reduces the progression from infection to disease, however there is evidence that BCG may provide additional benefits. We aimed to investigate whether there is evidence in routinely-collected surveillance data that BCG vaccination impacts outcomes for tuberculosis (TB) cases in England.
We obtained all TB notifications for 2009-2015 in England from the Enhanced Tuberculosis surveillance system. We considered five outcomes: All-cause mortality, death due to TB (in those who died), recurrent TB, pulmonary disease, and sputum smear status. We used logistic regression, with complete case analysis, to investigate each outcome with BCG vaccination, years since vaccination and age at vaccination, adjusting for potential confounders. All analyses were repeated using multiply imputed data.
We found evidence of an association between BCG vaccination and reduced all-cause mortality (aOR:0.76 (95%CI 0.64-0.89), P:0.001) and weak evidence of an association with reduced recurrent TB (aOR:0.90 (95%CI 0.81-1.00), P:0.056). Analyses using multiple imputation suggested that the benefits of vaccination for all-cause mortality were reduced after 10 years.
We found that BCG vaccination was associated with reduced all-cause mortality in people with TB although this benefit was less pronounced more than 10 years after vaccination. There was weak evidence of an association with reduced recurrent TB.
卡介苗(BCG)是世界上使用最广泛的疫苗之一。BCG 主要减少从感染到发病的进展,但有证据表明 BCG 可能提供额外的益处。我们旨在调查在常规收集的监测数据中是否有证据表明卡介苗接种会影响英格兰结核病例的结局。
我们从强化结核病监测系统中获取了英格兰 2009-2015 年所有结核报告。我们考虑了五个结局:全因死亡率、因结核死亡(在那些死亡的人中)、复发性结核、肺部疾病和痰涂片状态。我们使用逻辑回归,进行完整病例分析,在调整潜在混杂因素后,研究了每个结局与卡介苗接种、接种后年份和接种时年龄的关系。所有分析均使用多重插补数据重复进行。
我们发现卡介苗接种与全因死亡率降低之间存在关联(比值比:0.76(95%CI 0.64-0.89),P:0.001),与复发性结核降低之间存在弱关联(比值比:0.90(95%CI 0.81-1.00),P:0.056)。使用多重插补的分析表明,接种后 10 年,疫苗对全因死亡率的益处降低。
我们发现卡介苗接种与结核患者的全因死亡率降低相关,尽管在接种 10 年以上后,这种益处不那么明显。与复发性结核减少之间存在弱关联。