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社交媒体上反疫苗言论的时间趋势

Temporal trends in anti-vaccine discourse on Twitter.

机构信息

Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

出版信息

Vaccine. 2019 Aug 14;37(35):4867-4871. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.086. Epub 2019 Jul 9.

DOI:10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.086
PMID:31300292
Abstract

Despite vaccination's role in preventing communicable diseases, misinformation threatens uptake. Social media may disseminate such anti-vaccination messages. We characterized trends in pro- and anti-vaccination discourse on Twitter. All tweets between 2010 and 2019 containing vaccine-related hashtags were identified. Pro- and anti-vaccine tweets and users per quarter (3-months) were tabulated; discussion subcommunities were identified with network analysis. 1,637,712 vaccine-related tweets were identified from 154 pro-vaccine and 125 anti-vaccine hashtags, with 86% of users posting exclusively pro-vaccine and 12% posting exclusively anti-vaccine hashtags. Pro-vaccine tweet volumes are larger than anti-vaccine tweets and consistently increase over time. In contrast, anti-vaccine tweet volumes have decreased since 2014, despite an increasing anti-vaccine user-base. Users infrequently responded across pro/anti-vaccine alignment (0.2%). Despite greater volumes of pro-vaccination discourse in recent years, and the anti-vaccination content userbase being smaller, the anti-vaccine community continues to grow in size. This finding coupled with the minimal inter-communication between communities suggests possible ideological isolation.

摘要

尽管疫苗接种在预防传染病方面发挥了作用,但错误信息却威胁到了疫苗接种率。社交媒体可能会传播此类反疫苗接种信息。我们对 Twitter 上的支持和反对疫苗接种的言论趋势进行了描述。确定了 2010 年至 2019 年间包含疫苗相关话题标签的所有推文。按季度(3 个月)对支持和反对疫苗接种的推文和用户进行了统计;通过网络分析确定了讨论的亚社区。从 154 个支持疫苗接种和 125 个反对疫苗接种的话题标签中确定了 1637712 条与疫苗相关的推文,其中 86%的用户只发布支持疫苗接种的话题标签,12%的用户只发布反对疫苗接种的话题标签。支持疫苗接种的推文数量多于反对疫苗接种的推文,并且随着时间的推移持续增加。相比之下,尽管反疫苗接种用户基数不断增加,但自 2014 年以来,反疫苗接种的推文数量却有所减少。用户在支持和反对疫苗接种的态度上很少回应(0.2%)。尽管近年来支持疫苗接种的言论越来越多,而且反疫苗接种内容的用户基数较小,但反疫苗接种群体的规模仍在继续扩大。这一发现加上社区之间很少进行交流,表明可能存在意识形态孤立。

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