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自发性脑出血。

Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

机构信息

From the Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care (M.F., M.B.S.), Helsinki University Hospital, University of Helsinki, Finland.

Department of Emergency Care and Services (M.B.S.), Helsinki University Hospital, University of Helsinki, Finland.

出版信息

Stroke. 2019 Sep;50(9):2336-2343. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.118.024560. Epub 2019 Jul 17.

Abstract

Background and Purpose- We compared clinical and radiological predictors of long-term mortality in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) needing intensive care. Methods- A retrospective multicenter study of adult ICH patients treated in Finnish tertiary hospital's intensive care units during 2003 to 2013. We created 3 multivariable models (clinical, radiological, and combined clinical-radiological) for 12-month mortality prediction and compared their areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs). We analyzed supratentorial and infratentorial ICHs separately. Results- Of 972 patients (796 supratentorial ICH, 176 infratentorial ICH) included, 43% died within 12 months (42% supratentorial ICH, 49% infratentorial ICH). For all patients, the clinical model (AUC, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.81-0.86) outperformed the radiological model (AUC, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.70-0.77; P<0.001), yet the combined model (AUC, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.83-0.88) outperformed both condensed models (P<0.001). For supratentorial ICH, the combined model outperformed both the clinical and radiological models (AUC, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.81-0.87 versus AUC, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.79-0.85 and AUC, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.69-0.77; P<0.001 for all). For infratentorial ICH patients, the combined model significantly outperformed the radiological model but not the clinical model (AUC, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.88-0.96 versus AUC, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.69-0.83 versus AUC, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.87-0.95; P<0.001 and P=0.433, respectively). Conclusions- Clinical factors were more important than objective radiological factors for 12-month mortality prediction in intensive care unit-treated ICH patients. The effect of clinical and radiological factors on outcome was different for supratentorial and infratentorial ICHs stressing that these should not be treated as one entity.

摘要

背景与目的- 我们比较了需要重症监护的自发性脑出血(ICH)患者的长期死亡率的临床和影像学预测因素。方法- 这是一项回顾性多中心研究,纳入了 2003 年至 2013 年在芬兰三级医院重症监护病房治疗的成年 ICH 患者。我们为 12 个月死亡率预测创建了 3 个多变量模型(临床、影像学和临床-影像学联合),并比较了它们的接收者操作特征曲线下面积(AUC)。我们分别分析了幕上和幕下 ICH。结果- 在 972 名患者(796 名幕上 ICH,176 名幕下 ICH)中,43%在 12 个月内死亡(42%幕上 ICH,49%幕下 ICH)。对于所有患者,临床模型(AUC,0.83;95%CI,0.81-0.86)优于影像学模型(AUC,0.73;95%CI,0.70-0.77;P<0.001),但联合模型(AUC,0.85;95%CI,0.83-0.88)优于两个简化模型(P<0.001)。对于幕上 ICH,联合模型优于临床和影像学模型(AUC,0.84;95%CI,0.81-0.87 与 AUC,0.82;95%CI,0.79-0.85 和 AUC,0.73;95%CI,0.69-0.77;P<0.001)。对于幕下 ICH 患者,联合模型显著优于影像学模型,但不如临床模型(AUC,0.92;95%CI,0.88-0.96 与 AUC,0.76;95%CI,0.69-0.83 与 AUC,0.91;95%CI,0.87-0.95;P<0.001 和 P=0.433)。结论- 在重症监护病房治疗的 ICH 患者中,临床因素比客观影像学因素对 12 个月死亡率预测更重要。临床和影像学因素对幕上和幕下 ICH 结局的影响不同,这表明它们不应被视为一个整体。

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