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基于功能状态的高 KDPI 肾移植与透析的风险-获益分析。

Functional status-based risk-benefit analyses of high-KDPI kidney transplant versus dialysis.

机构信息

Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, USA.

Center for Engineering and Health, Institute for Public Health and Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA.

出版信息

Transpl Int. 2019 Dec;32(12):1297-1312. doi: 10.1111/tri.13483. Epub 2019 Jul 31.

Abstract

Yearly, over half of deceased-donor kidneys with kidney donor profile index (KDPI) > 85 were discarded, yet they could improve survival outcomes for dialysis patients. The potential risk of high-KDPI kidney transplant (KT) depends on the patient's overall health summarized by functional status, which should be examined. The analyzed cohort consisted of adult deceased-donor KT candidates on dialysis listed in 2005-2014. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was fitted with functional status, measured using Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS), and transplant status as time-varying covariates. Derived from the Cox model, survival curves were analyzed to compare the survival outcomes between dialysis and transplant with different kidney qualities across three different KPS strata: 10-40, 50-70, and 80-100. With KDPI 0-99 KT, KPS 10-40 patients will survive ≥4.38 years median compared with 3.21 years median if they remained on dialysis. For KPS 50+ patients, the median survival years increase from 5.82 to 6.60 years on dialysis to ≥7.83 years after KDPI < 100 KT. The risk-adjusted analyses suggested that patients are expected to benefit more from KDPI 81-99 KT than from remaining on dialysis.

摘要

每年,超过一半的 KDPI>85 的已故供体肾脏被丢弃,然而这些肾脏可以改善透析患者的生存结果。高 KDPI 肾移植 (KT) 的潜在风险取决于患者的整体健康状况,这可以通过功能状态来评估。该分析队列包括 2005 年至 2014 年登记的透析的成年已故供体 KT 候选者。使用卡诺夫斯基表现评分 (KPS) 作为时间变化的协变量,拟合了功能状态的多变量 Cox 比例风险模型。从 Cox 模型中得出,生存曲线用于分析不同 KPS 分层(10-40、50-70 和 80-100)下,不同肾脏质量的透析和移植之间的生存结果。对于 KDPI 0-99 KT,KPS 10-40 患者的中位生存时间将从透析时的 3.21 年增加到 ≥4.38 年。对于 KPS 50+患者,中位生存时间从透析时的 5.82 年增加到 KDPI<100 KT 时的 ≥7.83 年。风险调整分析表明,KDPI 81-99 KT 患者比继续透析更有可能受益。

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