Department of Political Science, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, USA.
Center for Behavioral Political Economy, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, USA.
Nat Hum Behav. 2018 Sep;2(9):653-661. doi: 10.1038/s41562-018-0418-0. Epub 2018 Sep 7.
A characteristic feature of the global climate change dilemma is interdependence between the underlying economic development that drives anthropogenic climate change-typically modelled as a common pool resource dilemma-and the subsequent dilemma arising from the need to mitigate the negative effects of climate change, often modelled as a public goods dilemma. In other words, in a carbon-based economy, causal responsibility for climate change is a byproduct of economic development, and is therefore endogenous to it. To capture this endogeneity, we combine these two dilemmas into a 'compound climate dilemma' and conduct a series of incentivized experiments in the United States and China to test its implications for cooperation and prosocial behaviour. Here we show that, in a differentiated development condition, even while the advantaged parties increase their prosociality relative to an endogenous but homogeneous baseline condition, the accompanying decrease in cooperative behaviour by the disadvantaged parties more than offsets it. Furthermore, compared with exogenous but identically parameterized control conditions, this endogeneity decreases cooperation in the mitigation dilemma. In light of this interdependence, the basis upon which mitigation obligations should be differentiated becomes an additional dimension of conflict, with implications for domestic politics and international negotiations discussed.
全球气候变化困境的一个特点是,推动人为气候变化的潜在经济发展(通常被建模为共同池资源困境)与随后因需要减轻气候变化的负面影响而产生的困境之间存在相互依存关系,后者通常被建模为公共物品困境。换句话说,在碳基经济中,气候变化的因果责任是经济发展的副产品,因此是内生的。为了捕捉这种内生性,我们将这两个困境结合成一个“复合气候困境”,并在美国和中国进行了一系列激励实验,以检验其对合作和亲社会行为的影响。在这里,我们表明,在差异化发展条件下,即使优势方相对于内生但同质的基准条件增加了亲社会性,劣势方合作行为的相应减少也超过了这一点。此外,与外生但参数相同的对照条件相比,这种内生性会降低缓解困境中的合作。鉴于这种相互依存关系,应该根据什么来区分缓解义务成为冲突的另一个维度,讨论了对国内政治和国际谈判的影响。