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[2000 - 2014年哥伦比亚与杀人死亡率相关的社会经济因素]

[Socioeconomic factors associated with the death rate by homicide in Colombia, 2000-2014].

作者信息

Dávila Claudio Alberto, Pardo-Montaño Ana Melisa

机构信息

Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales. Carr. Picacho-Ajusco 377, Héroes de Padierna. 14200 Ciudad de México CDMX México.

Instituto de Geografia, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico. Ciudad de México CDMX México.

出版信息

Cien Saude Colet. 2019 Aug 5;24(8):2793-2804. doi: 10.1590/1413-81232018248.29142017.

Abstract

The scope of this paper was to analyze the trends, impact on life expectancy and effect of the main associated socioeconomic factors with the death rate by homicide in Colombia between 2000 and 2014 at the state level, by gender and age groups. Standardized mortality rates and years of life lost among those under 85 years of age were calculated and multivariate regression analysis was performed using negative binomial fixed effects regression models with panel data to analyze the associated socioeconomic factors with the incidence of homicide. The reduction of the death rate by homicide in Colombia was corroborated, which was generalized at state level, though it did not occur homogenously. A higher mortality risk was found among males, particularly between 15 and 49 years of age. Economic growth and inequality were negatively associated with death rates by homicide; unemployment was positively associated; and poverty had no effect on the mortality rate. Investigating the main associated factors with homicidal violence is complex, but is indispensable due to its impact on economic and social development, given that it mainly affects the population of productive age, with broad public health consequences and at a high cost to healthcare services.

摘要

本文的范围是分析2000年至2014年哥伦比亚州一级按性别和年龄组划分的主要相关社会经济因素与杀人死亡率之间的趋势、对预期寿命的影响以及效果。计算了85岁以下人群的标准化死亡率和寿命损失年数,并使用具有面板数据的负二项固定效应回归模型进行多元回归分析,以分析与杀人发生率相关的社会经济因素。哥伦比亚杀人死亡率的下降得到了证实,这在州一级是普遍现象,尽管并非均匀发生。发现男性的死亡风险较高,尤其是在15至49岁之间。经济增长和不平等与杀人死亡率呈负相关;失业率呈正相关;贫困对死亡率没有影响。调查与杀人暴力相关的主要因素很复杂,但由于其对经济和社会发展的影响而必不可少,因为它主要影响生产年龄人口,具有广泛的公共卫生后果且给医疗服务带来高昂成本。

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