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1951年至1982年期间原子武器机构员工的死亡率。

Mortality of employees of the Atomic Weapons Establishment, 1951-82.

作者信息

Beral V, Fraser P, Carpenter L, Booth M, Brown A, Rose G

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

出版信息

BMJ. 1988 Sep 24;297(6651):757-70. doi: 10.1136/bmj.297.6651.757.

Abstract

A total of 22,552 workers employed by the Atomic Weapons Establishment between 1951 and 1982 were followed up for an average of 18.6 years. Of the 3115 who died, 865 (28%) died of cancer. Mortality was 23% lower than the national average for all causes of death and 18% lower for cancer. These low rates were consistent with the findings in other workforces in the nuclear industry and reflect, at least in part, the selection of healthy people to work in the industry and the disproportionate recruitment of people from the higher social classes. At some time during their employment 9389 (42%) of the workers were monitored for exposure to radiation, the average cumulative whole body exposure to external radiation being 7.8 mSv. Their mortality was generally similar to that of other employees, even when exposures were lagged by 10 years. The rate ratio after a 10 year lag in workers with a radiation record compared with other workers was 1.01 (95% confidence interval 0.92 to 1.10) for all causes of death and 1.06 (0.89 to 1.27) for all malignant neoplasms. The only significant differences were for prostatic cancer (rate ratio 2.23; 95% confidence interval 1.13 to 4.40) and for cancers of ill defined and secondary sites (rate ratio 2.37; 1.23 to 4.56). Cancers of lymphatic and haemopoietic tissues were notable for their low occurrence in the study population, with only four deaths from leukaemia and two from multiple myeloma in workers with a radiation record, 9.16 and 3.55 deaths respectively being expected on the basis of national rates. Among workers who had a radiation record 3742 (40%) were also monitored for possible internal exposure to plutonium, 3044 (32%) to uranium, 1562 (17%) to tritium, 638 (7%) to polonium, and 281 (3%) to actinium. In these workers mortality from malignant neoplasms as a whole was not increased, but after a 10 year lag death rates from prostatic and renal cancers were generally more than twice the national average, these excesses arising in a small group of workers monitored for exposure to multiple radionuclides. Though mortality from lung cancer in workers monitored for exposure to plutonium was below the national average, it was some two thirds higher than in other radiation workers, the excess being of borderline statistical significance. Mortality from malignant neoplasms as a whole showed a weak and non-significant increasing trend with increasing level of cumulative whole body exposure to external radiation. When the exposures were lagged by 10 years the trend became stronger and significant, the estimated increase in relative risk per 10 mSv being 7.6% (95% confidence interval 0.4% to 15.3%). This trend was confined almost entirely to workers who were also monitored for exposure to radionuclides (p<0.001), the main contributions coming from lung cancer and prostatic cancer. Exposures of the lung and prostate from internal sources of radiation were not quantified, except for the contribution from tritium. It was therefore not possible to assess the extent to which the associations were due to internally deposited radionuclides rather than external exposure. The finding for prostatic cancer taken in conjunction with the results of other studies suggest a specific occupational hazard in a small group of workers in the nuclear industry who had comparatively high exposures to external radiation and who were also monitored for internal exposure to multiple radionuclides. Research is needed to discover whether any of the radionuclides and other substances concerned are concentrated in the prostate. The occurrence of lung cancer in this workforce requires further investigation taking into account smoking habits and tissue doses from inhaled radionuclides.

摘要

1951年至1982年期间,对原子武器机构雇佣的22552名工人进行了平均18.6年的随访。在3115名死亡者中,865人(28%)死于癌症。所有死因的死亡率比全国平均水平低23%,癌症死亡率低18%。这些低比率与核工业其他劳动力的研究结果一致,至少部分反映了选择健康人群从事该行业工作以及来自较高社会阶层的人员不成比例地被招募。在其工作期间的某个时间,9389名(42%)工人接受了辐射暴露监测,全身平均累积外照射剂量为7.8毫希沃特。他们的死亡率总体上与其他员工相似,即使暴露时间滞后10年也是如此。有辐射记录的工人在暴露滞后10年后,所有死因的率比为1.01(95%置信区间0.92至1.10),所有恶性肿瘤的率比为1.06(0.89至1.27)。唯一显著的差异是前列腺癌(率比2.23;95%置信区间1.13至4.40)以及部位不明和继发性癌症(率比2.37;1.23至4.56)。淋巴和造血组织癌症在研究人群中的发生率较低,有辐射记录的工人中仅有4人死于白血病,2人死于多发性骨髓瘤,根据全国发病率预计分别为9.16人和3.55人。在有辐射记录的工人中,3742人(40%)也接受了钚内照射可能性的监测,3044人(32%)接受了铀内照射监测,1562人(17%)接受了氚内照射监测,638人(7%)接受了钋内照射监测,281人(3%)接受了锕内照射监测。在这些工人中,总体恶性肿瘤死亡率并未增加,但在暴露滞后10年后,前列腺癌和肾癌的死亡率通常是全国平均水平的两倍多,这些超额死亡发生在一小群接受多种放射性核素暴露监测的工人中。虽然接受钚暴露监测的工人肺癌死亡率低于全国平均水平,但比其他接受辐射的工人高约三分之二,这种超额具有边缘统计学意义。总体恶性肿瘤死亡率随全身累积外照射剂量水平的增加呈现出微弱且无统计学意义的上升趋势。当暴露滞后10年时,这种趋势变得更强且具有统计学意义,估计每10毫希沃特相对风险增加7.6%(95%置信区间0.4%至15.3%)。这种趋势几乎完全局限于也接受放射性核素暴露监测的工人(p<0.001),主要贡献来自肺癌和前列腺癌。除了氚的贡献外,未对来自内照射源的肺部和前列腺照射进行量化。因此,无法评估这些关联在多大程度上是由于体内沉积的放射性核素而非外照射所致。前列腺癌的这一发现与其他研究结果相结合,表明在一小群核工业工人中存在特定的职业危害,这些工人相对较高地暴露于外照射且也接受了多种放射性核素的内照射监测。需要开展研究以确定是否有任何相关的放射性核素和其他物质在前列腺中富集。考虑到吸烟习惯和吸入放射性核素的组织剂量,该劳动力群体中肺癌的发生情况需要进一步调查。

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