Marinac Catherine R, Suppan Catherine A, Giovannucci Edward, Song Mingyang, Kværner Ane S, Townsend Mary K, Rosner Bernard A, Rebbeck Timothy R, Colditz Graham A, Birmann Brenda M
See the Notes section for the full list of authors' affiliations.
JNCI Cancer Spectr. 2019 Jun 24;3(3):pkz044. doi: 10.1093/jncics/pkz044. eCollection 2019 Sep.
Although obesity is an established modifiable risk factor for multiple myeloma (MM), several nuanced aspects of its relation to MM remain unelucidated, limiting public health and prevention messages.
We analyzed prospective data from the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-Up Study to examine MM risk associated with 20-year weight patterns in adulthood, body shape trajectory from ages 5 to 60 years, and body fat distribution. For each aforementioned risk factor, we report hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for incident MM from multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models.
We documented 582 incident MM cases during 4 280 712 person-years of follow-up. Persons who exhibited extreme weight cycling, for example, those with net weight gain and one or more episodes of intentional loss of at least 20 pounds or whose cumulative intentional weight loss exceeded net weight loss with at least one episode of intentional loss of 20 pounds or more had an increased MM risk compared with individuals who maintained their weight (HR = 1.71, 95% CI = 1.05 to 2.80); the association was statistically nonsignificant after adjustment for body mass index. We identified four body shape trajectories: lean-stable, lean-increase, medium-stable, and medium-increase. MM risk was higher in the medium-increase group than in the lean-stable group (HR = 1.62, 95% CI = 1.22 to 2.14). Additionally, MM risk increased with increasing hip circumference (HR per 1-inch increase: 1.03, 95% CI = 1.01 to 1.06) but was not associated with other body fat distribution measures.
Maintaining a lean and stable weight throughout life may provide the strongest benefit in terms of MM prevention.
尽管肥胖是多发性骨髓瘤(MM)已确定的可改变风险因素,但其与MM关系的几个细微方面仍未阐明,限制了公共卫生和预防信息。
我们分析了护士健康研究和卫生专业人员随访研究的前瞻性数据,以检查与成年期20年体重模式、5至60岁身体形态轨迹和体脂分布相关的MM风险。对于上述每个风险因素,我们报告多变量Cox比例风险模型中MM发病的风险比(HR)和95%置信区间(CI)。
在4280712人年的随访期间,我们记录了582例MM发病病例。例如,出现极端体重波动的人,即那些体重净增加且有一次或多次至少减重20磅的故意减重事件,或其累积故意体重减轻超过体重净减轻且有至少一次故意减重20磅或更多的人,与体重保持稳定的个体相比,患MM的风险增加(HR = 1.71,95% CI = 1.05至2.80);在调整体重指数后,该关联无统计学意义。我们确定了四种身体形态轨迹:瘦且稳定、瘦且增加、中等且稳定、中等且增加。中等增加组的MM风险高于瘦且稳定组(HR = 1.62,95% CI = 1.22至2.14)。此外,MM风险随臀围增加而增加(每增加1英寸的HR:1.03,95% CI = 1.01至1.06),但与其他体脂分布指标无关。
终生保持瘦且稳定的体重可能在MM预防方面提供最大益处。