Handa Sudhanshu, Natali Luisa, Seidenfeld David, Tembo Gelson
Department of Public Policy, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Department of Economics, University of Sussex, Falmer, England.
J Dev Effect. 2016;8(3):346-367. doi: 10.1080/19439342.2016.1206605. Epub 2016 Jul 26.
This paper reports the impact on child schooling and work of the Government of Zambia's Child Grant Program (CGP), an unconditional cash transfer program targeted to households with children under age 3 years in three districts of the country. Although the CGP's focus is on very young children, we look to see if the program has impacts on older children who are not the explicit target group. We use data from a large-scale social experiment involving 2,519 households, half of whom were randomized out to a delayed-entry control group, that was implemented to assess the impact of the program. We find that the CGP has no discernable impact on school enrollment of children age 7-14. However when we break the sample by older (11-14) and younger (7-10) children - based on the grade structure of the Zambian schooling system - we find a significant impact among children age 11-14 which coincided with the exact age range where sharp drop-out begins to occur in Zambia with point estimates in the range of 7-8 percentage points. Finally, we provide evidence on the potential pathways through which the unconditional cash transfer impacts on enrollment. Households in the CGP spend more on education, and in particular on uniforms and shoes, two items cited as key barriers to school enrollment in study areas.
本文报告了赞比亚政府的儿童补助计划(CGP)对儿童上学和工作的影响。该计划是一项无条件现金转移计划,目标是该国三个地区有3岁以下儿童的家庭。尽管CGP的重点是非常年幼的儿童,但我们想看看该计划是否对并非明确目标群体的大龄儿童有影响。我们使用了来自一项大规模社会实验的数据,该实验涉及2519户家庭,其中一半被随机分配到延迟进入对照组,该实验旨在评估该计划的影响。我们发现,CGP对7至14岁儿童的入学率没有明显影响。然而,当我们根据赞比亚学校系统的年级结构,将样本按大龄儿童(11至14岁)和小龄儿童(7至10岁)进行划分时,我们发现该计划对11至14岁儿童有显著影响,这与赞比亚开始出现大幅辍学的具体年龄范围相吻合,点估计范围在7至8个百分点之间。最后,我们提供了有关无条件现金转移影响入学率的潜在途径的证据。CGP家庭在教育上的支出更多,特别是在制服和鞋子上,这两项被认为是研究地区入学的关键障碍。