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赞比亚儿童补助的社会与生产影响

The Social and Productive Impacts of Zambia's Child Grant.

作者信息

Handa Sudhanshu, Seidenfeld David, Davis Benjamin, Tembo Gelson

出版信息

J Policy Anal Manage. 2016 Spring;35(2):357-387. doi: 10.1002/pam.21892. Epub 2015 Dec 31.

Abstract

Accumulated evidence from dozens of cash transfer programs across the world suggest that there are few interventions that can match the range of impacts and cost-effectiveness of a small, predictable monetary transfer to poor families in developing countries. However, individual published impact assessments typically focus on only one program and one outcome. This article presents two-year impacts of the Zambian Government's Child Grant, an unconditional cash transfer to families with children under age five, across a wide range of domains including consumption, productive activity and women and children's outcomes, making this one of the first studies to assess both protective and productive impacts of a national unconditional cash transfer program. We show strong impacts on consumption, food security, savings and productive activity. However, impacts in areas such as child nutritional status and schooling depend on initial conditions of the household, suggesting that cash alone is not enough to solve all constraints faced by these poor, rural households. Nevertheless, the apparent transformative effects of this program suggest that unconditional transfers in very poor settings can contribute to both protection and development outcomes.

摘要

来自全球数十个现金转移项目的累积证据表明,很少有干预措施能与向发展中国家贫困家庭进行小额、可预测的货币转移所产生的一系列影响和成本效益相匹配。然而,个别已发表的影响评估通常只关注一个项目和一个结果。本文展示了赞比亚政府的儿童补助金(一项向有五岁以下儿童的家庭提供的无条件现金转移)在两年内对包括消费、生产活动以及妇女和儿童状况等广泛领域的影响,使其成为首批评估国家无条件现金转移项目的保护性和生产性影响的研究之一。我们发现该项目对消费、粮食安全、储蓄和生产活动有显著影响。然而,在儿童营养状况和教育等领域的影响取决于家庭的初始条件,这表明仅靠现金不足以解决这些贫困农村家庭面临的所有制约因素。尽管如此,该项目明显的变革性影响表明,在非常贫困的环境中进行无条件转移可以对保护和发展成果都做出贡献。

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